Daily Market News by Xtreamforex.com

**odfamgaingnam30o** · 07-24-2022, 12:05 AM

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**xtreamforex.com** · 07-25-2022, 10:32 AM

Last week the European currency showed a slight growth to a high of 1.0272. Reason behind this was the most banal corrective rebound of EUR/USD breaking the equality level of 1.0000, the bottom at 0.9951 on 14th of July, the resumption of Russian gas supplies to Europe and the most important expectation of a rise in the euro interest rate of 50bp. This happened in reality for the first time in past 13 years.

The explanation given by ECB of the rate normalization was, obvious and consists of an updated assessment of inflation growth and the announcement from ECB for the launch of a new instrument which is the TPI.

Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

**xtreamforex.com** · 07-26-2022, 10:52 AM

The ECB hike of last week is the highest hike in past 11 years which brought the interest rate from -0.50% to 0.00%. Further normalization of interest is appropriate, indicating that there will be another hike from ECM on their next meeting on 8th September. Another new program was introduced by the committee of new bond buying called Transmission Protection Instrument to be used if it is needed. TPI will allow ECB to buy bonds in any country which is in Eurozone whose yields may be surging due to unwarranted financial conditions.

Last weeks poor PMI data to the Eurozone with European PMIs showing that manufacturing was slowing. A number of country’s manufacturing readings fell below the 50 level, indicating manufacturing activity is in contractionary territory. For the Eurozone as a whole, the flash Manufacturing PMI was 49.6 vs 52.1 previously, while the flash Services PMI was 50.6 vs 53 previously. This brought the composite number down to 49.4 from 52 in June. On Monday, Germany released its Ifo Business Climate. The reading was 88.6 vs 90.2 in June. The expectations component fell from 85.5 in June to 80.3 in July, its lowest level since April 2020. This seemly confirmed the PMI data.

This week EU will release its flash CPI for July. Expectations are for 8.6% YoY vs 8.6% YoY previously. The core CPI is expected to go up 3.8% YoY from 3.7% YoY previously. If this print continues higher, the ECB will have some bring decisions to make.

The FOMC meets today and tomorrow to discuss interest rate policy. Expectations are that the committee will raise rates by 75bps, which will bring the Fed Funds rate from 1.75% to 2.50%. The last CPI reading for the US was 9.1% YoY. On Friday, PMI data of US was released. The Manufacturing component was 52.3 vs 52.7 in June.

EUR/USD has been moving in a lower channel since Feb 2022. It began moving aggressively by mid-June when it was at 1.1500 and reached 1.0340 which was the low since Jan 2017 but couldn’t break through. On July 14th it broke the level of 1.0000 since then the pair has been consolidating mid-range near 1.0250 as tomorrow’s FOMC meeting looms.

Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

**odfamgaingnam30o** · 07-26-2022, 11:55 PM

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**xtreamforex.com** · 07-27-2022, 09:39 AM

AUD Second Quarter Increase | Xtreamforex

In the second quarter of 2022 Australian inflation data has increased to 6.1%, but below the agreed expectations relaxing the fear of a surprising 75bp rate increase when the RBA has a meeting next week.

CPI rose by 1.8% Quarter On Quarter(QoQ) and 6.1% Year On Year(YoY). This was the highest increase since the introduction of the Goods and Services tax in the beginning of 2000.

The RBA’s preferred measure of inflation, increased by 1.4% Quarter On Quarter and 4.9% Year On Year, which was above the market expectations of 1.2% QoQ and 4.7% YoY.

Necessary inflation is now 190bp above the top of the RBA’s 2-3% target band, and the yearly trimmed means was highest since the ABS first published the series back in 2003.

Read Full : Daily & Weekly Analysis On Xtreamforex

**xtreamforex.com** · 07-28-2022, 09:58 AM

As widely expected, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the range of its target for the the federal funds rate by 75 bps, which brings the top end of the range to 2.50%. There was widespread support for another supersized rate increase-the FOMC raised rates by 75 bps at its last meeting in June. The FOMC has now hiked rates by 225 bps since March, this much increase never happened in past 40 years.

In todays decision, the committee again pointed to that fact that inflation remains high. For sure the YoY rate of CPI inflation rose from 8/6% in May to 9.1% in June, which was higher then others, and likely most FOMC members, had expected at the time. The statement also repeated that “the committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective”. This sentence, which was used previously in the June statement, in connection with the unanimous vote to raise rates by another 75bps today, indicates that inflation remains forefront in the minds of most FOMC members.

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**xtreamforex.com** · 07-29-2022, 09:44 AM

The US Economy || US rate hike cycle concludes in 2022

Last week was very active for global rebirth in risk appetite despite a run of data which pointed to deteriorating US economic growth. This is because the softer tone of US data and the FOMC’s acceptance of it implies a reducing risk of the rate hikes in excess of those already increased.

Increasing the rate hike for the second time to a mid-point of 2.375%, Chair Powell showed a greater degree of comfort over the outlook for inflation in the July press conference. In part this stems from 2.375% being within the 2.3% interest rate range th FOMC believe to be neutral for their economy. However, the greater comfort of inflation is also a consequence of building apprehension over the outlook for growth. The press conference also made clear that the FOMC wish to undertake “just the right amount of tightening” to bring about below trend growth, not to make mistake by creating the pre conditions for recession.

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**xtreamforex.com** · 08-01-2022, 10:44 AM

FOMC

The FOMC increased rates by 75bps increasing the Fed Funds rate from 1.75% to 2.50%. The statement confirmed that spending and production were soft, however job increase remain strong. The Fed put softer data aside by saying that it anticipates ongoing increase in the Fed Funds rate. It was announced by the Fed Chairman Powell that the rate decisions will be made on a meeting to meeting basis which depends on the incoming data. On one side it was announced that another unusual large market rate hike could be expected and it could also be possible to slow down the rate hikes to get more restrictive. For now the Fed is data dependent. IF the labor markets continue to be strong, the Fed will continue hiking. If there are cracks in the labor market, the Fed may pull back the pace of rate hikes.

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**odfamgaingnam30o** · 08-01-2022, 10:18 PM

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AUD Second Quarter Increase | Xtreamforex

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