Daily Market News by Xtreamforex.com

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  1. #501
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    Daily Market News by Xtreamforex.com
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    Default The AUD/USD is expected to fall further towards 0.7200 as China and the Fed join the

    As market sentiment deteriorates ahead of Monday’s European session, the AUD/USD reverts to an intraday low around 0.7250, down 0.48 percent on the day. The risk barometer validates the market’s recent pessimism, as well as its apprehension ahead of this week’s key Federal Open Market Committee meeting (FOMC).
    The improved progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks was not enough to entice AUD/USD buyers, as the latest Russian shelling and demands for Kyiv to back down, as well as Ukraine’s push for more sanctions against Moscow, did. On the same vein, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva stated on CBS’s “Face the Nation” programme that Russia may default on its debts as a result of unprecedented sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine, but this would not trigger a default.

    In other news, China has reported the highest daily covid infections since May 2020 and has imposed strict lockdowns in two states, bringing back the virus woes and weighing on the AUD/USD. The strength of US Treasury yields is also a challenge to the quote, as the 5-year bond coupon renews at an all-time high above 2.0 percent amid record inflation expectations, according to the 10-year breakeven inflation rate from the St. Louis Federal Reserve (FRED) data.

    Among these bets, the S&P 500 Futures and the ASX 200 both pared early Asian session gains. Furthermore, Chinese stocks are falling, despite market expectations for a rate cut by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC). As a result, risk aversion may continue to weigh on AUD/USD prices until commodities regain upside momentum, which is less likely given China’s challenges.

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    Default XAU/USD is approaching $1,935 as a result of China’s commodity woes and Ukraine conce

    Gold (XAU/USD) re-establishes an intraday low around $1,942, down 0.45 percent on the day, as COVID-19 concerns about China add to the yellow metal’s recent weakness during Tuesday’s Asian session. Bears are also aided by mixed concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis, as well as higher US Treasury yields amid expectations of faster monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) Nonetheless, the yellow metal began the trading week on a negative note, owing to a stronger US dollar and uncertainty over the Ukraine-Russia standoff.

    Following the largest daily increase in covid infections, the latest virus numbers from China did not provide any relief. “Mainland China reported 3,602 new confirmed coronavirus cases on March 14, according to the national health authority on Tuesday, up from 1,437 the day before,” The dragon nation also declared a virus-induced lockdown in Langfang, a city near Beijing. Oleksiy Arestovych, an adviser to Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s office, was quoted by Sputnik as saying that a Moscow-Kyiv peace treaty could be reached as soon as two weeks or before late May. On the same vein, Ukraine President Zelenskyy recently stated that peace talks with Russia will resume on Tuesday, following an abrupt halt on Monday. However, reports of a Russian drone over Poland and sanctions imposed on Moscow, as well as Russia-Belarus refusal to pay for energy supplies in USD, cast doubt on the mood and weighed on gold prices.

    Among these bets, the S&P 500 Futures pared an early Asian session gain, while US 10-year Treasury yields hovered near the highest levels since July 2019, around 2.14 percent at the time of publication.

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    Default The dollar is nearing a five-year high against the yen ahead of the Fed, while the Au

    On Wednesday, the dollar traded near a five-year high against the yen as investors awaited a Federal Reserve policy decision against the backdrop of the Ukraine war and China’s surging COVID-19 cases. Treasury yields jumped ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee decision, boosting the dollar against its Japanese counterpart, with traders fully pricing in the first interest rate hike in three years and giving a 13 percent chance of a half-point increase.

    The dollar was also near its highest level this month against the Australian dollar, as commodity prices fell from multi-year highs, as markets remained hopeful that Russia-Ukraine talks would lead to an end to hostilities. Australia’s currency was also under pressure as top trade destination China saw new COVID cases more than double to a two-year high on Tuesday, raising concerns about the rising economic costs of the disease’s zero-tolerance policies.

    Meanwhile, the euro has resumed its recovery from a near-22-month low earlier this month. This contributed to the dollar index remaining stable around 99.0, after reaching a high of 99.415 at the start of last week. “Whether forlorn or otherwise, there does seem to be some enduring optimism (coming from) the fact that Russia and Ukraine are still talking,” said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank, helping the euro to stabilize.

    In terms of the greenback, “the bigger question will be that there’s a lot of historical evidence that the dollar peaks as soon as the Fed begins the tightening cycle, so there’s a lot of interest in whether what the Fed does turns out to be something of a watershed in terms of a peak,” Attrill said, with the dollar index peaking around 100. The dollar index was last at 98.880, slightly lower than on Tuesday.

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    Default With all eyes on the Xi-Biden negotiations, the AUD/USD remains under pressure approa

    The AUD/USD broke a three-day rally from a monthly low during Friday’s Asian session, and is now trading at the intraday low of 0.7370. In doing so, the Aussie pair reflects the market’s trepidation ahead of a crucial phone conference between US President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping, which will address a variety of topics, including the Ukraine-Russia situation. China’s Foreign Ministry acknowledged ahead of the meeting that China and Russia met on March 17 to discuss security cooperation. It’s worth mentioning that Beijing has repeatedly refuted US assertions that it is ready to assist Moscow in its conflict with Ukraine.

    On a different page, Reuters reported that China recorded 2,416 new confirmed coronavirus cases on March 17, up from 1,317 the day before, according to the country’s national health authorities. ” It’s worth mentioning that COVID-19 daily infections have been decreasing in the previous two days after reaching an all-time high.

    On the contrary, news of industry output restarting in five Shenzen districts keep buyers optimistic. In other news, Turkey is attempting to establish contact between Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart Volodymyr Zelenskyy, but has received no confirmation. Fears of a Russian default add to the risk-off mindset.

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    Default XAU/USD maintains small advances near $1,925, but lacks follow-through

    Gold crept up in the early hours of Monday trade, but there was little follow-through purchasing or strong positive confidence. There appears to be no end in sight to Ukraine’s prolonged conflict, which has rejected Russia’s offers to hand up the port city of Mariupol. The deteriorating geopolitical environment put investors on edge, lending some support to the safe-haven precious metal. However, the advent of some US dollar buying worked as a headwind for the commodity priced in US dollars.

    The fact that the Fed signalled last week that it may hike rates at all six remaining meetings in 2022 continues to bolster the buck. This, together with increased hawkish statements from important FOMC members and higher US Treasury bond rates, supported the dollar while limiting gains for non-yielding yellow gold. Nonetheless, the metal has managed to keep its head above the $1,920 level so far, as market players await Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s scheduled address later in the US session.

    Traders will take cues from new developments in the Russia-Ukraine storey, which will play a significant role in determining market risk sentiment. Aside from that, the USD price dynamics should offer some push to gold in the absence of any market changing economic releases from the US. As earlier update Gold (XAU/USD) is licking its wounds at $1,928, up 0.30 percent intraday during the Asian session on Monday. The yellow gold suffered its largest weekly drop since June 2021, as market confidence strengthened during the previous week, impacting on the bullion’s safe-haven demand. However, Ukraine’s rejection of Russia’s capitulation demand in Mariupol has reignited risk aversion.

    In addition to Kyiv’s willingness to fight in Mariupol, increased shelling in Ukraine by Russian soldiers reflects the bleak situation. The Chinese Envoy recently expressed willingness to de-escalate the conflict in Ukraine, but markets remain sceptical, as the past week’s discussion between US President Joe Biden and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping failed to deliver any important specifics on the critical topic. On the contrary, the debate over Taiwan heightened Sino-American tensions, reviving gold’s safe-haven demand. Other factors influencing market mood include rising covid numbers in China and the suspension of trade in Hong Kong by struggling real estate giant Evergrande.

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    Default The EUR/USD is once again under pressure as Asia takes over the baton

    EUR/USD is down 0.13 percent, having fallen from a top of 1.1013 to a low of 1.0982 thus far. The US dollar rose on Wednesday as oil prices rose again, with US President Joe Biden set to announce more sanctions against Russia with European leaders during his trip to Europe. Traders are anticipating Biden’s arrival in Brussels later Wednesday to meet with NATO and European leaders in an emergency conference at the headquarters of the Western military alliance. According to Reuters, the US package would include sanctions aimed at Russian members of parliament.

    Stocks in the United States plummeted as a result of the news, but treasuries rebounded from historic losses ahead of stricter monetary policy to battle inflation. The S&P 500 fell 1.2 percent, driven by financial sector losses, as the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 2.30 percent after touching highs not seen since mid-2019. Traders are piling into bonds as Federal Reserve officials indicate they are likely to hike interest rates rapidly to manage inflation, and the Ukraine crisis has drove commodity prices up 26 percent this year.

    Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, a member of the Federal Open Market Committee, has advocated for 50bp rate rises this year, citing the economy’s surplus demand.

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    Default As the Ukraine war and inflation troubles combine stable yields, the XAU/USD is braci

    For the third day in a row, gold (XAU/USD) has been in the lead, with bids at $1,963 at press time in Friday’s Asian session. The previous day, amid rising anxiety over the Ukraine-Russia confrontation, the yellow metal hit a new high in almost two weeks. The metal’s recent gain, on the other hand, might be connected to a drop in the value of the US dollar. By press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY) had fallen 0.30 percent intraday to 98.50, halting a two-day upswing. The dollar’s recent fall might be attributed to slow Asian rates and market inflation worries, as well as hesitation over Ukraine’s conflict with Russia.

    It’s worth remembering that most global officials, not just the Fed, have recently raised concerns about inflation, which has fueled gold’s safe-haven demand. Japan’s central bankers were the most recent to join the group. The possibility of a 0.50 percent rate rise by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and talk about Quantitative Tightening are also worth noting (QT).

    “Russia will emerge from the Ukraine crisis weakened militarily and diplomatically,” a senior US official was reported by Reuters as saying. On the same topic, Reuters published an article claiming that Russia’s precision missiles are inaccurate and that there has been a shortage of them in recent days. Australia and Japan have recently joined the West in punishing Russia, heightening concerns over the situation.

    On Thursday, US Vice President Joe Biden pressed European leaders, the Group of Seven (G7), and NATO members to impose more sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine. While his NATO allies were able to set up combat guards for four Ukrainian cities and denounced Beijing’s connections with Moscow, the rest of the world mostly avoided substantial sanctions against Russia.

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