HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.

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  1. #151
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    HFMarkets (hfm.com): Market analysis services.
    Date : 24th November 2022.

    Market Update – November 24 – FOMC Mins. & Data conspire to sink USD.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    The USD Index has collapsed from over 107.80 on Monday to 105.50 today.
    FOMC Mins. – Confirmed that a “substantial majority” believed slowing in the pace of increases would likely soon be appropriate. That largely confirms what has been priced in, with a 50 bp increase fully priced in for December and “significant uncertainty” about the ultimate level of the funds rate. “Various participants” (Bullard , Mester, etc no doubt) noted that with few signs of inflation abating and demand and supply still out of balance, they suspected the ultimate level of the funds rate would have to be “somewhat higher” than previously seen. Powell seemed to confirm this at the press conference.

    Earlier Weekly Claims jumped to a 240k and the Continuing Claims hit a high not seen since March. Whilst Durable Goods were stronger than expected, PMI data missed. The mixed news gave a lift to stocks, weighed on the Dollar and saw yields drop too. US10-yr closed at 3.69%, with the 2/10 yr inversion at -79 bps.

    *EUR – rallied to over 1.0400 an 8-day high at 1.0448 earlier.
    *JPY – eased all the way down to 138.50 zone from over 141.60 yesterday. JPY PMI missed and moved back into contraction at 49.4 from 50.7.
    *GBP – Sterling rallied on the weaker USD breaking & breaching the key 1.2000 slevel and testing 1.2080.
    *Stocks – Wall Street closed in the green (NASDAQ +0.99%) TSLA +7.82% (upgrade from CITI to Neutral from Sell). In the UK Manchester United shares rallied +26.8% on news the Glazier family could be willing to sell some or all of their holdings). US500 +23.68 (+0.59%) 4027, FUTS trades at 4042 now.





    *USOil – Sank from $81.50 and trades at $77.50 now. G7 proposed price cap higher than expected. Inventories declined by 3.7m barrels this week more than the 2.6m expected but much less than last week’s outsized 5.4m barrel drawdown.
    *Gold – Tested down to $1725 before recovering $1750 to trade at $1755 now.
    *BTC – Sentiment woes continue, but holds $16.6k today capped at $16.8k.

    Today – German Ifo, ECB Minutes, (Riksbank, CBRT & SARB Policy Announcements), Speeches from BoE’s Pill, Ramsden, Mann, ECB’s Schnabel & de Guindos.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.60%) continued to decline from the test of 142.00 earlier this week. Trades at 138.50. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling, RSI 24.75 & OS, H1 ATR 0.293, Daily ATR 2.230.



    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #152
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    Date : 28th November 2022.

    Market Update – November 28 – Global risk appetite is back.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *The USDIndex held fractionally lower below 106.00 following a short week and a hit in risk sentiment and stoked uncertainty.
    *USDJPY drifted by 0.80% to 138 in a blow to risk appetite, by protests in China, a manufacturing powerhouse and Southeast Asia’s top trading partner, which flared for a third day and spread. – How will the government react to the wave of civil disobedience when COVID cases are rising ?
    *Chinese Stocks & Yuan slump! – The dissent toward President Xi is greater than ever, as protestors in Shanghai urge for Xi resignation.
    *Stocks – Wall Street closed in the red, while it has gapped down today as global equities tumbled on China unrest (NASDAQ -0.52%, S&P -0.03%. Apple set to lose 6 million Iphones professionals from tumult at China plant (Friday’s close -1.96%) – production could slump by 30% in its main Zhengzhou plant in central China.
    *EUR – rebounded to 1.0395.
    *GBP – holds below 200-day SMA, at 1.2065.



    *USOil – -3.11% tumbled from 2-month support at $75 to $73.90 today, as China’s covid zero policy is put to the test, clouding the energy demand outlook.
    *Gold – at $1750, under pressure along with the overall commodity market.
    *BTC – slumps as uncertainty prevails. Currently at $16,168.

    Today – There is a heavy data calendar that includes nonfarm payrolls on Friday. ECB President Lagarde & FOMC Member Bullard speak today.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-1.80%), used as a liquid proxy for the Yuan declined to 92.14. MAs aligning lower, MACD histogram & signal line negative & falling, RSI 22 & OS, H1 ATR 0.2566, Daily ATR 0.9899.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  3. #153
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    Date : 29th November 2022.

    Market Update – November 29 – Tightening Tilt, COVID Control & Month End Flows.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *The USDIndex rallied to 106.70 in the previous session but formed a correction in Asia session to 106.00 ahead of a COVID-19 press briefing in China that is spurring hopes of a potential easing in the country’s strict pandemic restrictions.
    *Fed Officials Signal Higher rates: Hawkish reminders from key Fed officials Williams, Bullard, and Brainard that rates will have to go higher helped weigh on the markets in Monday action. Wall Street was weaker overnight on the back of Williams’s and Bullard’s comments, and slipped further as Brainard tripled down on the rate outlook.
    *US houses prices fall like in 2008.
    *Stocks – Global stocks rise after yesterday’s dip. US100 and US500 dropped -1.58% and 1.54%, respectively, with the US30 off -1.45% amid broadbased weakness. Today however the rumours of an earlier easing of strict COVID-19 restrictions along wihth vaccinations for over 80-year olds, found buyers in the stock market with a Chinese stocks rebound. Hang Seng and CSI 300 bounced 4% and 3% respectively. ASX and Nikkei closed narrowly mixed. GER40 and UK100 futures are up 0.5% and 0.4% respectively.
    *EUR – reversed from 5-month peak. Currently at 1.0360. ECB’s Lagarde said overnight that inflation had not peaked and it risks turning out even higher than currently expected, hinting at a series of interest rate hikes ahead.
    *JPY along with Yuan, Aussie and Kiwi on bid.
    *GBP – turns again below 1.20 at 1.1987.
    *USOil – jumps to 80.00 as China refines its approach for dealing with protest and Covid control. All eyes are on weekend OPEC+ meeting. EU fails to agree on Russian oil price cap once again.
    *Gold – fully recovered yesterday’s losses, currently at $1754.

    Today – Swiss GDP, German HICP , Canadian Q3 GDP, US Consumer Confidence and BOE Governor Bailey speech.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+1.10%), bounces to 0.6235. MAs aligning higher and RSI at 63 but MACD histogram & signal line remain below 0. H1 ATR 0.00147, Daily ATR 0.00962.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  4. #154
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    in ro ham eslah kon:
    Date : 30th November 2022.

    Market Update – November 30.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    *USDIndex slightly below 1-week amid reports of a softer stance on Covid emerging in China’s official rhetoric, which is keeping hopes alive that there won’t be a move back to tighter restrictions. All eyes are on an expected hawkish stance from Chair Powell’s speech today.
    *Stocks – The Nikkei closed with a -0.2% loss, the ASX managed a 0.4% gain and Hang Seng and CSI300 are currently up 1.1% and 0.1% respectively. GER40 and UK100 futures are up 0.6% and 0.4% respectively. US futures are underperforming, but also managing slight gains. Wall Street closed mixed with the NASDAQ dropping -0.59% on weakness in tech and the rise in yields.
    *Japan’s factory output fell for a 2nd consecutive month in October, and China’s factory activity contracted at a faster pace in November, weighed down by softening global demand.
    *JPY – is holding in the 138-139 range.
    *USOil – supported ahead of the OPEC+ meeting on December 4. Energy was lifted by easing in China jitters.
    *AUD & NZD downward pressure from worse than expected Chinese manufacturing surveys.
    *Gold – extends gain to $1757.

    Today – Attention is on Powell’s speech later today, who is likely to reinforce yesterday’s hawkish Fedspeak from Williams, Bullard, and Mester who all stressed rates are headed higher still and could remain so for some time. Elsewhere is EU HICP, US ADP and Q3 GDP.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) GBPAUD (-0.25%), declined to 1.7816 from 1.7930. MAs aligning lower and RSI at 34.8 and MACD histogram & signal line remain below 0. H1 ATR 0.00267, Daily ATR 0.01538.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HFMarkets

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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