Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-04-2023, 04:04 AM

Watch FXOpen's January 30 - February 3 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

What CHATGPT means for investors
Brent Crude Oil price takes a bashing overnight
Markets focus on Bitcoin as volatility takes it to 5-month high
The reaction of financial markets to the decision of the Fed

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Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

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**FXOpen Trader** · 02-06-2023, 05:28 AM

GBP/USD Drops Sharply While EUR/GBP Gains Momentum

GBP/USD started a fresh decline below the 1.2200 support zone. EUR/GBP is rising and trading above the 0.8920 support zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2400 resistance against the US Dollar.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2120 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
EUR/GBP started a steady increase above the 0.8900 and 0.8920 levels.
There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 0.8945 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a major decline from well above the 1.2350 level against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained pace below the 1.2300 level to move into a bearish zone.

There was a clear move below the 1.2200 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The bears even pumped the price below the 1.2120 level and a low is formed near 1.2031 on FXOpen. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 1.2100 level.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.2100 level. The first major resistance is near the 1.2120 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2400 swing high to 1.2031 low.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2120 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. A clear move above the 1.2120 level could spark a decent increase.

The next major resistance sits near the 1.2215 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2400 swing high to 1.2031 low. Any more gains might send the pair towards the 1.2250 resistance zone.

On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.2030 level. The next major support is near the 1.2000 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.1920 support zone.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-06-2023, 01:59 PM

British Pound hits the deck as Western markets raise interest rates

At the end of last week, the much anticipated action from many central banks across the Western world took place, and interest rates were increased once again.

There were many forecasts during the advent of the interest rate rises which largely focused on the United States Federal Reserve Bank's anticipated rate rise, however the European Central Bank and the Bank of England both conducted interest rate increases at the same time.

In the United Kingdom, which has been reported to have the least investable provincial economy in Europe, placing it alongside Greece, the effect has been the greatest.

The British Pound dipped to its lowest point against the US Dollar in over a month, and is currently trading at 1.21.

This has ended the steady climb in the value of the British Pound which has taken place over the past few weeks, as it hauled itself out of oblivion after many months of declining values during the summer of 2022, ending in November.

Interest rates in the United Kingdom were raised to 4%, which is not far off the 5% that was predicted by many investment banks in the summer of 2022, whose analysts predicted that by January 2023, interest in the UK would rise to approximately 5% which appeared a grave prediction given their very low position back then which was under 2%.

Now, at 4%, there is grave concern, and even before this level had been reached, mortgage lenders across the United Kingdom had been removing mortgage products from the market to avoid borrowers being unable to service monthly payments should the interest rates increase to these levels.

Whilst it may sound alarmist, 4% is nowhere near the 15% interest that was demanded back in 1991 and 1992, but back then borrowing was quite low, and even though that period was considered to be very much a period of austerity, it was recoverable quite quickly.

Today, borrowing is at a much higher level and mortgage lenders are often exposed to individual borrowings exceeding £500,000 whereas in the early 1990s it was between £10,000 and £20,000. At the end of the 1990s, the average property price rocketed and more than doubled in just one year, and has been rising ever since, but salaries have not kept up with this, hence greater exposure to debt.

When interest rates were less than 1%, this was not a problem, but now with increasing rates, the cash strapped are finding themselves lumbered with unserviceable repayments.

London remains a global powerhouse and has its own economy which is still flourishing as it is an influential capital which conducts global business at top level, however the rest of the country is a very different matter.

Just two weeks ago, the Institute for Public Policy Research, a well recognized think tank, noted that outside London, especially the north of England is fiscally barren. The report stated that only Geece has lower levels of public and private investment in a ranking of Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, and that if it was not for London, the UK would be alongside Greece in its economic performance.

A very grave set of statistics, which perhaps show why the British Pound showed the biggest decline of any major currency over the past few days despite all of Europe and the United States also having conducted interest rate rises.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-07-2023, 12:56 PM

After a long decline, Tesla leads the charge as EV stocks are back in vogue

The past few months have demonstrated that, like most extremely high profile phases and fads, the euphoria surrounding the world’s sudden focus on electric vehicles after over 120 years of celebrating the internal combustion engine faded, and with that, down went the massively inflated stock prices of some of their manufacturers.

Tesla was the disrupting influence that suddenly appeared from Silicon Valley just over 10 years ago with a roadster based on the Lotus Elise which very few people can remember, before suddenly heading onto the streets with its first ever sedan, the Model S, which in 2014 took the world by storm largely because it looked and drove like a normal luxury car, but was fully electric.

Before this, there had been some electric car prototypes by mainstream car manufacturers, and one or two that had gone to market, only to be met with derision and criticism, and were largely viewed as extremely unfashionable examples of social awkwardness on wheels.

Tesla changed all that, and since then has changed quite a lot of other aspects of how technology firms do business - it is the first publicly listed company to become a cryptocurrency whale for example, and did so without any concern or objection from shareholders or the exchange it is listed on.

This year, however, the extreme faddishness which has surrounded electric vehicles to the extent that almost every mainstream manufacturer has spent the past three years rallying to introduce new electric models when they had no intention of doing so prior to the Tesla era, and marketing campaigns everywhere from the internet to billboards are depicting the very latest electric car from almost everywhere across the globe, has faded.

Tesla stock, listed on the NASDAQ exchange, has been depreciating like a 1970s Lancia after a winter in Manchester, and some newcomers to the electric vehicle market, set up as new companies over the past few years and which only produce electric vehicles, have been following the declining trend that Tesla has experienced.

Perhaps it was inevitable, as some of them, total newcomers to the automotive industry and without a credible product, had raised billions of dollars via Special Purchase Acquisition Company (SPAC) listings on NASDAQ, meaning that they could bypass the usual levels of due diligence required to list on a public exchange and simply raise billions without, in some cases, even delivering a single product.

In this arena of newcomers to the auto industry, Tesla remains the stalwart and its stock has started to rebound.

Tesla stock was up a considerable 4.78% at the close of the US trading session yesterday, and some of the less well known electric vehicle producers are also experiencing a resurgence in values.

Currently analysts are looking at Rivian, the electric truck manufacturer, North American luxury electric car brand Lucid and Polestar, Volvo’s performance electric car division.

Tesla stock has been rising from the doldrums over the past month, and is a remarkable 62% higher than it was 30 days ago, showing that whilst the world has got used to Tesla models now that they are no longer a novelty and are utterly ubiquitous, and even have been subject to some degree of criticism for being bland or less of a quality product than the established luxury brands, there is still a degree of interest in Elon Musk and his forward thinking ideology.

Unlike other car brands which tend to toe the conservative line, Tesla is the product of Elon Musk, who is well known for edge-of-the-seat commercial decisions and for the public not knowing what he will do next!

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-07-2023, 01:17 PM

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 07th FEB 2023

BTCUSD – Bullish Harami Pattern Above $22658

Bitcoin continues its bullish momentum from last week and after touching a low of $22658 on 07th Feb, the prices started to correct upwards against the US Dollar and are now ranging above the $23000 handle in the European trading session today.

The price is back over the Pivot point in the daily timeframe indicating bullish trends.

We can clearly see a bullish Harami pattern above the $22658 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 22658 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 23037 in the European trading session today.

The momentum indicator is back over zero in the 4-hourly timeframe indicating a bullish scenario.

The MACD indicator is giving a bullish divergence signal in the 1-hourly timeframe.

Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short-term a decline in the prices is expected.

The RSI indicator is back over 50 in both the 30-minutes and 1-hourly timeframe indicating bullish trends.

Relative strength index is at 58.15 indicating a strong demand for Bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly Simple Moving average and below its 100 hourly Exponential Moving averages.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate shor-term we are expecting targets of 23500 and 24500.

Average true range is indicating less market volatility with a mild bullish momentum.

Bitcoin bullish continuation seen above $22658.
The Williams percent range is indicating an overbought level.
The price is now trading just above its Pivot levels of $22887.
Short-term range is mild bullish.

Bitcoin Bullish Continuation Seen Above $22658

The prices of Bitcoin witnessed a downwards correction after crossing the $24000 levels. Now the markets are ranging into a consolidation channel above the $22500 handle.

After the consolidation phase is over, we are expecting upside moves in the range of $23500 to $24500 levels.

We can see the formation of a bullish price crossover pattern with the Adaptive Moving average AMA20 in both the 30-minutes and 1-hourly timeframes.

The immediate short-term outlook for Bitcoin is mild bullish, medium-term outlook has turned as bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

Bitcoin support zone is located at $22342 which is a 14-3 Day Raw Stochastic at 50% and at $22581 which is a 3-10 Day MACD Oscillator Stalls.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance levels of 23053 and Fibonacci resistance levels of 23352 after which the path towards 23500 will get cleared.

In the last 24hrs BTCUSD has increased by 0.84% by 190.97$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 24.800 Billion. We can see an increase of 13.07% in the trading volume as compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Bitcoin has reached its highest levels this month at $24209 which was last seen on 20th Aug, 2022. We are now looking to cross the $25000 levels this month.

Daily RSI is printing at 62.55 which indicates a very strong demand for Bitcoin and the continuation of the bullish phase present in the markets in the short-term range.

We can see the formation of a bullish trendline from $22658 towards the $24118 levels.

The prices of BTCUSD are now facing its resistance zone located at $23406 which is a 14-Day RSI at 70% and at $23594 at which the price crosses 9-Day Moving Average Stalls.

Weekly outlook is projected at $25000 with a consolidation zone of $24000.

Technical Indicators:

Moving Averages Convergence Divergence (12,26): It is at 2.60 indicating a BUY.

Ultimate Oscillator: It is at 57.18 indicating a BUY.

Rate of Price Change: It is at 0.226 indicating a BUY.

Bull/Bear Power (13): It is at 175.73 indicating a BUY.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-08-2023, 04:27 AM

EUR/USD Reverses Gains While USD/JPY Aims Higher

EUR/USD is correcting lower and trading below 1.0800. USD/JPY is rising and might aim more upsides if it stays above the 130.20 support.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.1035 resistance zone.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.0750 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
USD/JPY is attempting a fresh increase above the 131.00 support zone.
There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near 130.00 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro gained pace above the 1.0950 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair even broke the 1.1000 and 1.1020 resistance levels.

However, the pair failed to surpass the 1.1035 level. A high was formed near 1.1033 and the pair started a fresh decline. There was a clear move below the 1.0950 support zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

The pair even broke the 1.0850 support level. A low is formed near 1.0670 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 1.0700 level.

On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 1.0750 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.0750 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The trend line is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1033 swing high to 1.0670 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0800 level. An upside break above 1.0800 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might visit 1.0850 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1033 swing high to 1.0670 low.

Any more gains might send the pair towards 1.0920. If not, it could continue to move down. An initial support on the downside is near the 1.0700 level. The first major support is near the 1.0670 level.

The main support sits near the 1.0650 zone, below which the pair could start a major decline. In the stated case, the pair might dive towards the 1.0520 support zone.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-08-2023, 04:19 PM

Bitcoin values decline as major exchange halts Dollar transfers

The now rather infamous 'crypto winter' which referred to the latter part of 2022 had appeared to show some signs of subsiding recently.

After many months of relatively low and somewhat stagnant cryptocurrency values, some of the more popular digital currencies had begun to make a little bit of headway over the first few weeks of 2023.

By the end of January 2022, it looked as though the value of many of the most popular cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, were emerging from the doldrums and beginning to make a resurgence in value, with Bitcoin hitting $23,783 on January 30.

Of course, this is a far cry from the $60,000 ballpark which Bitcoin reached in 2021, but considering the under-$20,000 range it has been languishing in for a few months, it is a considerable upturn in fortunes.

However, since yesterday, Bitcoin has been declining in value once again, going from $23,380 during the night (1.15am UK time) to $23,159 by 11.00am UK time today.

That is a 66 point decrease in value, 0.28% in percentage terms, which may not seem a large movement, but it does represent a downturn of considerable monetary value, putting an end to the climbing values.

It could be that accessibility may be a factor, as Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges announced yesterday that will suspend U.S. dollar withdrawals and deposits for international customers beginning today, resulting in a significant capital outflow from Binance and Bitcoin withdrawal figures going up overall.

Binance stated that it remained 'net positive' after the withdrawal run took place, however such a rush to divest from an exchange in one go means that actual trading volume in Bitcoin would likely be affected, which may also be contributing to the lower values today.

Binance has stated that this suspension of US dollar transactions is temporary, but of course any action which causes a mass withdrawal of assets from a trading venue is always likely to affect overall trading volume.

So, whilst overall Bitcoin is being viewed through a bullish lens, largely because of the US Federal Reserve bank's latest less aggressive rate hike of just 25 basis points, which helped Bitcoin to maintain its rising trajectory and outperform as compared to other asset classes, any action affecting trading in which a mass withdrawal takes place is likely to have some effect.

It may be temporary, and if so, volatility is definitely on its way back to the crypto market.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-10-2023, 06:03 AM

Gold Price Turns Red And Crude Oil Price Could Correct Gains

Gold price is moving lower and trading below $1,880. Crude oil price is facing a strong resistance near the $79 zone and might correct lower.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

Gold price started a strong decline below the $1,900 level against the US Dollar.
It traded below a key rising channel with support near $1,872 on the hourly chart of gold.
Crude oil price started a fresh increase from the $72.50 support zone.
There is a connecting trend line forming with resistance near $79.10 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price struggled to stay above the $1,950 level against the US Dollar. The price started a strong decline and traded below the $1,920 support zone.

The bears even pushed the price below $1,900 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Recently, there was a break below a key rising channel with support near $1,872 on the hourly chart of gold. The price traded below the $1,865 level.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

A low is formed near $1,859 on FXOpen and the price is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $1,870 level.

The stated level is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,890 swing high to $1,859 low. The next key hurdle is near the $1,875 level or the 50 hourly simple moving average.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,890 swing high to $1,859 low is also near the $1,875 level. A clear upside break above the $1,875 resistance could send the price towards $1,890.

An immediate support on the downside is near the $1,858 level. The next major support is near the $1,850 level, below which there is a risk of a larger decline. In the stated case, the price could decline sharply towards the $1,832 support zone.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-11-2023, 04:45 AM

Watch FXOpen's February 6 - 10 Weekly Market Wrap Video

In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the week’s happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

British Pound hits the deck as Western markets raise interest rates
After a long decline, Tesla leads the charge as EV stocks are back in vogue
On the state of the US economy
Natural gas prices are nearing new lows of the year

Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.

FXOpen YouTube

Disclaimer: This forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #weeklyvideo

**FXOpen Trader** · 02-13-2023, 06:06 AM

GBP/USD Could Extend Losses, USD/CAD Breaks Key Support

GBP/USD is showing bearish signs below the 1.2150 resistance. USD/CAD traded below the 1.3400 support, which might now act as a resistance.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD

The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2200 resistance zone.
There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
USD/CAD is struggling below the 1.3420 and 1.3400 support levels.
There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support near 1.3380 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a fresh decline from well above 1.2400 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained bearish momentum after there was a break below the 1.2250 support.

The pair even broke the 1.2150 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The recent swing high was formed near 1.2193 on FXOpen before the price started another decline. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1961 swing low to 1.2193 high.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

It is now trading below 1.2050 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2065 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.2060 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.2100 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Any more gains could lead the pair towards the 1.2200 barrier in the near term.

If not, the pair could continue to move down and might even break the 1.2040 support. The next major support is near 1.2000 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1961 swing low to 1.2193 high.

If there is a downside break, GBP/USD might test the 1.1960 support. The next major support sits at 1.1850, where the bulls might take a stand.

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Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.