Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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    Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen
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    jiwa188 hôm trước vừa qua chỗ bác n*y mua xong dùng mấy tháng rồi vẫn thấy ok
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    Watch FXOpen's November 7 - 11 Weekly Market Wrap Video

    In this video, FXOpen UK COO Gary Thomson sums up the weeks happenings and discusses the most significant news reports.

    • FTX crash overshadows inflation news
    • Bearish reversal in the oil market?
    • EUR/USD aiming at more upsides
    • Big tech stocks in focus


    Watch our short and informative video, and stay updated with FXOpen.



    FXOpen YouTube

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    GBP/USD Climbs Higher, EUR/GBP Eyes Upside Break


    GBP/USD started a recovery wave and climbed above the 1.1750 resistance. EUR/GBP is trading above the 0.8700 support and might eye a fresh increase.

    Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

    • The British Pound started a fresh increase after it broke the 1.1550 resistance against the US Dollar.
    • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1780 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
    • EUR/GBP started a decent increase and remained well bid above the 0.8700 support.
    • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.8765 on the hourly chart.


    GBP/USD Technical Analysis

    The British Pound found support near the 1.1350 zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair started a recovery wave and was able to clear the 1.1550 resistance zone.

    There was a decent increase above the 1.1650 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even climbed above the 1.1750 level. A high was formed near 1.1852 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains.

    GBP/USD Hourly Chart


    On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.1780 level. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1780 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD, below which it could test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1334 swing low to 1.1852 high.

    The next major support is near the 1.1650 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.1600 support zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1334 swing low to 1.1852 high.

    On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.1820 level. The next main resistance is near the 1.1850 zone. A clear upside break above the 1.1820 and 1.1850 resistance levels could open the doors for a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance sits near the 1.2000 level.

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    US may avoid recession whereas Europe may plunge deeper


    Just before the weekend began, reports from the United States showed that there is finally some light at the end of what has been a very long tunnel as inflation began to decrease.

    On Friday, figures were released showing that consumer price increases eased to 7.7% in October which, although still high compared to the levels most consumers in North America have been used to over recent years, is a definite step in the right direction after inflation headed over the double figures mark a few months ago.

    In Europe, however, things are not showing any signs of change. In the United Kingdom it remains just under 10%, and in the Eurozone its 10.7%.

    Whereas the majority of the Eurozone and Britain were locked down periodically for over a year and a half, some parts of the United States remained free of any such draconian rules and had managed to maintain productivity. Some of those areas were the states of Florida and Texas, which are both highly urbanized states with large industrial capacity.

    This is certainly one factor, as by comparison the Eurozone and United Kingdom had their entire economies postponed for a sustained period of time and are now in fiscal dire straits with that as a major contributing factor.

    This morning, analysts at Morgan Stanley reinforced this dynamic, stating that Britain and the euro zone economies are likely to tip into recession next year, whereas by contrast the United States may avoid a recession thanks to a resilient job market.

    Morgan Stanley's analysis of this situation also focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, and the investment bank considers that the Federal Reserve is likely to keep the interest rates at a high level during 2023 as although inflation has decreased in October, 7.7% is still high enough to warrant maintaining high interest rates.

    According to a report by Reuters today, Morgan Stanley predicts a sharp split between developed economies in 2023 which are "in or near recession" while emerging economies "recover modestly" but said an overall global pickup would likely remain elusive. China's economy was predicted to grow 5% in 2023, outpacing the average 3.7% growth expected for emerging markets, while the average growth in the Group of 10 developed countries was forecast at just 0.3%.

    The value of the British Pound against the US Dollar has performed accordingly, as the Pound dropped in value this morning on the opening of the London trading session, after a substantial rise in value over the weekend, marking a steady move away from several weeks of plummeting Pound values.

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    FTSE 100 index jumps 10 points in one day!


    The London Stock Exchange's index containing the 100 most prestigious companies, the FTSE 100, has made a sudden jump upwards by a remarkable 10% this morning.

    By 10.00am UK time, it stood at 7,395, representing its highest point over the past 30 days.

    The mainstream media is focusing on the insolvency of publicly listed clothes brand Joules, which after 33 years of trading, had its shares suspended ahead of the expected appointment of Interpath Advisory as administrators.

    This has not caused the drop that the tabloids across the United Kingdom had predicted and in fact quite the opposite is the case.

    Despite the British government's will to raise taxes and unemployment and inflation figures due today and tomorrow before chancellor Jeremy Hunts autumn statement on Thursday, the Pound is actually up against the US Dollar at 1.18, and the FTSE 100's stellar performance is defying the gloomy outlook which is being viewed by many citizens.

    Inflation is still standing at around 10%, and there is speculation that interest rates could rise dramatically to around 5% in January as Britain's recession continues, the economy reeling in the wake of lockdowns, followed by Brexit-related issues, and subsequently a floundering government led for a record short period of 44 days by Liz Truss who tanked the Pound and caused tremendous levels of uncertainty alongside equally short-lived Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng whose mini-budget struck fear into the soul of hundreds of thousands of people before it was canceled following the resignation of both Ms Truss and Mr Kwarteng.

    So far, the British job market has managed to hold up quite well. The 3,300 increase in new jobs was accompanied by an unemployment rate of 3.6%, which compares with 3.5% the previous month. This has been a positive figure.

    Ultimately, it is still clear that volatility in the usually utterly stable stock markets and prestigious indices is the order of the day.

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis 15th NOV 2022


    BTCUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $15590

    Bitcoin was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 20877 on 07th Nov, the prices started to decline against the US dollar touching a low of 15622 on 10th Nov.

    After this decline we can see some correction in the price of bitcoin which is now trading above the 16500 in the European Trading session today.

    We can see the formation of a bullish harami pattern in both the 30-minute and weekly time frames.

    The RSI indicator is back over 50 indicating the bullish scenario present in the markets.

    We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $15590 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

    Bitcoin touched an intraday low of 16364 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 16968 in the European trading session today.

    Both the STOCH and STOCHRSI are indicating overbought levels which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

    The relative strength index is at 58 indicating a STRONG demand for bitcoin, and the continuation of the buying pressure in the markets.

    Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly exponential moving average and below its 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

    Most of the major technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 17000 and 18500.

    The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility with a mildly bullish momentum.

    • Bitcoin: bullish reversal seen above $15590
    • The Williams percent range is indicating an overbought level
    • The price is now trading just below its pivot level of $16924
    • Most of the moving averages are giving a BUY market signal


    Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $15590


    We can now see that the price of bitcoin is moving in a mildly bullish momentum and we are expecting more correction waves in this week.

    We can see the formation of a three white soldiers pattern in the 4-hour time frame.

    We can see a bullish trend reversal signal with adaptive moving average AMA50 in the 2-hourly time frame.

    The price of bitcoin is now moving in an up-channel formation above the $16000 handle.

    Some of the technical indicators are also giving a neutral stance of the markets.

    The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish,the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

    Bitcoins support zone is located at $16447 which is a pivot point, and $16783 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 20%.

    The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 17015 and Fibonacci resistance level of 17090 after which the path towards 21500 will get cleared.

    In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has increased by 0.36% by 59$ and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 41.390 billion. We can see an increase of 5.45% in the trading volume compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

    The Week Ahead

    The price of Bitcoin is moving in an ascending channel forming with support at $15850 on the hourly chart of the BTCUSD.

    Both the MACD and RSI are now giving bullish divergence signals on the weekly time frame.

    Now we are aiming for $17849 which is a 38.2% retracement from a 4-week low.

    The daily RSI is printing at 36 which indicates a weaker demand for bitcoin and a shift towards the consolidation/correction phase in the markets.

    The prices of BTCUSD will need to remain above the important support levels of $16000 this week.

    The weekly outlook is projected at $18500 with a consolidation zone of $18000.

    Technical Indicators:

    The moving averages convergence divergence, MACD (12,26): is at 90.80 indicating a BUY

    The commodity channel index, CCI (14): is at 72.52 indicating a BUY

    The rate of price change, ROC: is at 3.18 indicating a BUY

    The bull/bear power (13): is at 201.98 indicating a BUY

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    EUR/USD Rallies While USD/JPY Takes A Major Hit


    EUR/USD started a strong increase above the 1.0200 resistance zone. USD/JPY started a major decline below the 143.50 support zone.

    Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

    • The Euro formed a base and started a strong upward move above the 1.0200 zone.
    • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0290 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
    • USD/JPY declined sharply after it traded below the 145.60 support zone.
    • There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 143.55 on the hourly chart.


    EUR/USD Technical Analysis

    This past week, the Euro found support near the 0.9950 zone against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a steady upward move above the 1.0100 and 1.0200 resistance levels.

    There was a steady increase above the 1.0350 resistance zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even climbed above the 1.0400 resistance zone. A high was formed near 1.0479 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains.

    EUR/USD Hourly Chart


    An immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.0380 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0479 swing high to 1.0277 low.

    The next major resistance is near the 1.0430 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0479 swing high to 1.0277 low. An upside break above 1.0430 could set the pace for another increase.

    In the stated case, the pair might revisit 1.0480. Any more gains might send the pair towards 1.0550. An initial support on the downside is near the 1.0340 level.

    The first major support is near the 1.0300 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 143.55 on the hourly chart. The main support sits near the 1.0250 zone, below which the pair could start a major decline.

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    Inflation in the UK hits high at 11..1% as US inflation goes down


    The floundering British economy has once again been subject to a set of metrics that have marked out the severity of the current situation, this time it is yet again the announcement of an increase in inflation.

    Inflation in the United Kingdom reached 11.1% in October 2022, which is higher than had originally been predicted, marking out the very bleak nature of the British economic situation especially considering that yesterday, the United States government issued official figures showing that its level of inflation had reduced significantly to 7.7%.

    As can perhaps be expected, low-income households suffered the biggest jump in the cost of living, while high income households were less hit during that period, because low-income households spend more of their money on energy and food where costs have soared.

    Surprisingly, however, despite the very high inflation figures in the United Kingdom, the British Pound actually rose against the US Dollar to 1.19 last night and has thus far sustained that level of value, but it fell against the Euro during the early hours of the trading day this morning.

    It is looking likely that the Bank of England will not pause its program of increasing interest rates given the 11.1% inflation figure for October, giving more weight to the speculation that interest rates may rise to as much as 5% by January 2023, which would put pressure on people paying mortgages and other loans.

    The housing market outside London has already slowed down tremendously compared to just two months ago after 10 banks across the United Kingdom withdrew mortgage products from the market.

    Many analysts are looking back to the dark days of the early 1980s when the British economy was struggling after James Callaghan's 1979 'Winter of Discontent' in which there was no public money to pay for essential services and piles of household refuse were meters high in the streets, and companies implemented a 3-day working week due to inability to afford to pay wages.

    Today, the set of circumstances that has led to this level of inflation are completely different to those of the late 1970s, hence the uncertainty of what lies ahead and volatility in the currency markets.

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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    in ro ham eslah kon:
    ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis 17th NOV, 2022


    ETHUSD: Bearish Engulfing Pattern Below $1349

    Ethereum was unable to sustain its bullish momentum and after touching a high of 1349 on 10th Nov, the prices started to decline against the US dollar touching a low of 1171 on 14th Nov.

    After this decline, we can see some upwards correction in the levels of Ethereum above the $1200 handle.

    We have seen a bearish opening of the markets this week.

    We can clearly see a bearish engulfing pattern below the $1349 handle which is a bearish pattern and signifies the end of a bullish phase and the start of a bearish phase in the markets.

    ETH is now trading just below its pivot levels of 1204 and moving into a mildly bearish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic support level of 1188 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1198 after which the path towards 1100 will get cleared.

    The relative strength index is at 40 indicating a WEAK demand for Ether and the continuation of the selling pressure in the markets.

    The prices are ranging near the horizontal resistance in the weekly time frame, indicating a bearish trend.

    Both the STOCHRSI and Williams percent range are indicating oversold levels.

    All of the technical indicators are giving a STRONG SELL market signal.

    Most of the moving averages are giving a STRONG SELL signal and we are now looking at the levels of $1150 to $1100 in the short-term range.

    ETH is now trading below both the 100 & 200 hourly simple and exponential moving averages.

    • Ether: bearish reversal seen below the $1349 mark
    • Short-term range appears to be mildly bearish
    • ETH continues to remain below the $1300 level
    • The average true range is indicating LESS market volatility


    Ether: Bearish Reversal Seen Below $1349


    ETHUSD is now moving in a mildly bearish channel with the prices trading below the $1300 handle in the European trading session today.

    ETH continues to remain under pressure this month and fresh downsides are expected below the $1100 handle.

    ETHUSD touched an intraday high of 1227 and an intraday low of 1193 in the Asian trading session today.

    We can see a bullish price crossover pattern with moving averages MA50 and MA100 in the 1-hour time frame.

    We can also see the formation of a black evening star pattern in the 15-minute time frame.

    The daily RSI is printing at 38 indicating a very weak demand for Ether in the long-term range.

    The key support level to watch is $1186 which is the last resistance level, and $1195 which is a 14-3 day raw stochastic at 20%

    ETH has decreased by 3.15% with a price change of 38.81$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 11.524 billion USD.

    We can see an increase of 1.46% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

    The Week Ahead

    ETH price continues to remain in a bearish zone against the US dollar and bitcoin. ETHUSD is expected to move lower towards the $1100 and $11150 levels this week.

    We can see the formation of a major bearish trend line in place from $1349 towards $1119 levels.

    The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bearish, the medium-term outlook has turned neutral, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral in present market conditions.

    The prices of ETHUSD will need to remain above the important support levels of $1094 which is the 3rd support pivot point.

    The weekly outlook is projected at $1150 with a consolidation zone of $1100.

    Technical Indicators:

    The relative strength index (14): is at 37.20 indicating a SELL

    The rate of price change: is at -1.23 indicating a SELL

    Bull/Bear power (13): is at -14.17 indicating a SELL

    High/lows (14): is at -7.94 indicating a SELL

    VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

    Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.

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