Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

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  1. #251
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    Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen
    ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 21st OCT, 2021



    ETHUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $4000

    Ethereum is moving in a strong bullish momentum after clearing the psychological resistance level of $4000. The price of ETHUSD touched an intraday high of $4241 in the Asian trading session and is now preparing for its next rally towards the $5000 handle.

    ETH is now trading above its pivot level of $4157 and Fibonacci resistance level of $4169. The price of Ethereum is surging continuously today and is about to break its classic resistance level of $4206.

    Ether is expected to maintain the bullish tone this week and continue towards the $4500 mark as the bulls take over. All the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal.

    ETH is now moving above both the 100 hourly and 200 hourly simple moving averages. Bullish engulfing pattern above $4000 suggests that we could witness a fresh rally towards $5000 soon.

    • Ethereum continues to remain above the psychological level of $4000
    • Short-term to medium-term outlooks remain bullish for ETHUSD
    • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal
    • The pair is expected to touch $4500 in the US trading session today


    Ether’s Rally Towards $5000 Confirmed



    ETHUSD is consolidating its gains above $4000 and is now preparing for its next upwards move against the US dollar. ETH is now facing its next major resistance levels of $4240 and $4320, after which the path towards $4500 will get cleared.

    After surging above $4000, Ethereum’s volatility is low, suggesting that now investors are waiting to enter the market anticipating a major bullish move.

    ETH has gained 8.79% with a price change of +$339.35 in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 24.516 billion USD.

    Ethereum ETF

    The total market capitalization of Ethereum continues to increase, and at present is valued at 455 billion USD. The investors are eagerly waiting for the launch of Ethereum ETF in the US markets, which would bring a larger number of investors into its domain.

    Grayscale has announced its plans to launch an ETF based on Ethereum. At the moment, 4 Ethereum ETFs are trading in Canadian securities exchange, and plans are on to launch in the US market.

    Some crypto analysts believe that with the Ethereum ETFs, more institutional investors will come in, leading to its higher demand and a surge in the price well above $6000.

    The Week Ahead

    Ethereum dips remain well supported, and an increased buying pressure is seen above the $4000 mark. The bullish trend continues from last week. Any bearish corrections will serve as a buying opportunity for long-term traders.

    This week we may witness Ethereum touching the levels of $4500 — and then extending its rally towards the $5000 handle in the opening of the next week.

    As the price of ETHUSD remains above its 100 hourly exponential moving average, a breakout above $4400 is expected this week.

    Technical Indicators:

    Average directional change (14-day): at 48.125 indicating a BUY

    Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 47.63 indicating a BUY

    Rate of price change: at 1.148 indicating a BUY

    Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 66.36 indicating a BUY

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    Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Eye Upside Break



    Gold price is facing resistance near $1,790 and $1,800. Crude oil price remains elevated above the key $80.00 pivot level and it is eyeing more upsides.

    Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

    • Gold price started a decent increase above the $1,760 resistance against the US Dollar.
    • There was a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $1,785 on the hourly chart of gold.
    • Crude oil price extended its rally towards the $83.70 level before it started a downside correction.
    • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near $81.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.


    Gold Price Technical Analysis

    Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,750 pivot level against the US Dollar. The price gained pace and it was able to settle above the $1,780 resistance zone.

    A high was formed near $1,800 on FXOpen and the price corrected lower. There was a break below the $1,780 and $1,775 levels. However, the bulls were active above the $1,750 level. A low was formed near $1,760 and the price is now rising.

    Gold Price Hourly Chart


    The price is back above the $1,780 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It also surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the key drop from the $1,800 swing high to $1,760 low.

    There was also a break above a major contracting triangle with resistance near $1,785 on the hourly chart of gold. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $1,788 and $1,790 levels. It is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the key drop from the $1,800 swing high to $1,760 low.

    The first major resistance is near the $1,792 level. The main resistance is near the $1,800 level. A close above the $1,800 level could open the doors for a move towards $1,820.

    On the downside, the first major support is near the $1,782 level and the 50 SMA. A downside break below the $1,762 support zone may possibly call for a test of the $1,765 support zone in the near term.

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    GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Aim More Upsides



    GBP/USD is eyeing an upside break above the 1.3820 resistance zone. EUR/GBP is rising and it could gain pace if it clears the 0.8465 resistance.

    Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

    • The British Pound was able to gain pace above the 1.3700 and 1.3750 resistance levels.
    • There is a key rising channel forming with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
    • EUR/GBP formed a support base above 0.8420 and started a fresh increase.
    • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8440 on the hourly chart.


    GBP/USD Technical Analysis

    The British Pound started a major increase from the 1.3440 support zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair traded above the 1.3600 resistance zone to move into a positive zone.

    The pair even broke the 1.3750 resistance zone and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. It even spiked above 1.3800 and traded as high as 1.3835. GBP/USD is now correcting gains and trading below 1.3800.

    GBP/USD Hourly Chart


    An immediate support is near the 1.3760 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3413 swing low to 1.3835 high.

    It is now consolidating near the 1.3780 level. There is also a key rising channel forming with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. A downside break below the channel support might even push the pair below the 1.3700 support zone.

    The next major support is near the 1.3650 level. The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3413 swing low to 1.3835 high is also near the 1.3650 zone.

    Any more downsides might call for a move towards the 1.3600 level. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near 1.3820. If there is an upside break above the 1.3820 resistance, the price could surpass 1.3850.

    The next main resistance is near the 1.3920 zone, above which the pair could rise towards the 1.4000 level in the near term.

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    EURUSD Volatility Expected to Increase As ECB's Decision Looms



    The EURUSD has been trading in relatively tight ranges recently despite important economic data releases. The pair has found strong support at the 1.16 level as buyers stepped in on every move below. However, the bounces have been shallow and with little or no follow-through.

    This week, the price action on the EURUSD is expected to increase dramatically as investors prepare for two crucial events that will impact the currency pair: the European Central Bank meeting, and the Federal Reserve of the United States (FED) meeting next week.



    The Fed to Officially Announce Tapering

    The Fed is set to officially announce the tapering of its asset purchases at next week's meeting. Last Friday, the Fed's chair said he believed that the time for tapering had come — but the EURUSD did not react, perhaps because the news came late on a Friday afternoon.

    The statement is clearly hawkish for the dollar, and it should weigh on the EURUSD pair, especially since the ECB considers an opposite strategy. It will not taper yet; thus, the two monetary policies diverge.

    The EURUSD is the most popular currency pair on the FX dashboard and one that sets the course for the dollar index. Despite finding buyers below 1.16 in the last weeks, the bias remains bearish heading into the two central banks meetings.

    On Thursday, the focus sits with the ECB press conference and its staff's economic projections. As always, projections for inflation expectations are key for the euro. On Friday, investors will start to prepare for the Fed meeting scheduled for next week, and if the ECB keeps its dovish bias, the chances are that the EURUSD will test its recent lows around the 1.15 level.

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    BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 26th OCT, 2021



    BTCUSD – Rising Uptrend Channel Above $60000

    Bitcoin continues to consolidate its gains after touching an all-time high of $66967 last week. The price of bitcoin is now moving in a rising uptrend channel, indicating more upsides in the coming days.

    Bitcoin is holding above the 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages. The bearish correction that we saw last week after the price of BTC crossed $65000 seems to be well-supported above $60000.

    Bitcoin has started its next leg of upward movement and is now expected to cross the 63500 handle in the US trading session today.

    The short- to medium-term outlook for bitcoin remains bullish, and a rally is expected towards $65000 levels.

    • Bitcoin recovered from its losses last week and is now trading above its support levels of $62061
    • High relative strength index indicates a strong positive momentum in the short-term range
    • The price is now trading above its pivot level of $62404
    • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal at current market level of $62972


    Bitcoin Fresh Rally Towards $64000 Confirmed


    BTCUSD is oscillating between 63271 and 62213, and needs to clear its immediate resistance levels of 63750. The price of BTCUSD has just cleared its Fibonacci resistance level of $62714 and classic resistance level of $62900 in the European trading session.

    In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has gone UP by +0.36% with the price change of +225$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 32.248 billion.

    Bitcoin To Hit $80000 In 2021

    The price of bitcoin has appreciated by more than 50% since last month. Bitcoin was trading at $41034 on 29th Sep, 2021, and with the current market price of $62850, we can see an appreciation of 53%. Many companies have been adopting bitcoin leading to a higher demand for BTC on the cryptocurrency exchanges worldwide.

    Walmart is installing 200 bitcoin ATMs across the US. Bitcoin ETFs are gaining investor confidence. Twitter has enabled sending and receiving bitcoins via the Lightning network. Some crypto analysts say that the price of bitcoin will touch $80000 before the end of 2021.

    The Week Ahead

    The price of BTCUSD is holding above the important psychological level of $60000, and a positive momentum is observed in the short-term range. It is crucial for the price to hold above the $60000 handle for the next bitcoin rally towards $64000.

    This week, BTCUSD is expected to cross 63500 and aim for upsides of 64000 to 64500. The short-term bearish correction phase seems to have ended, and the dips remain well-supported above 61000.

    Both the medium-term and long-term outlook remain positive. Next week, we could witness BTC printing above the $64500 mark.

    Technical Indicators:

    Commodity channel index (14-day): at 28.51 indicating NEUTRAL

    Average true range (14-day): indicating less volatility

    Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 190.30 indicating a BUY

    Relative strength index (14-day): at 57.96 indicating a BUY

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    EUR/USD and EUR/JPY: Euro Remains At Risk



    EUR/USD failed to recover and declined below the 1.1620 support. EUR/JPY is facing a major resistance near the 132.50 and 132.65 levels.

    Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

    • The Euro gained bearish momentum below 1.1620 and 1.1600.
    • There was a break below an ascending channel with support near 1.1600 on the hourly chart.
    • EUR/JPY is attempting a recovery wave above the 132.30 resistance level.
    • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 132.65 on the hourly chart.


    EUR/USD Technical Analysis

    The Euro started another decline after it struggled to clear the 1.1665 resistance against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair broke the 1.1620 support zone to move into a bearish zone.

    The pair even traded below the 1.1600 support and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near 1.1585 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses. It is currently facing resistance near the 1.1600 level.

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    ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 28th OCT, 2021



    ETHUSD Consolidating Towards $4000

    Ethereum had a major bearish correction yesterday breaking down below the $4000 level, after which the price has stabilized and is moving to a consolidation phase towards the $4000 handle.

    ETHUSD touched an intraday high of $4298 on Wednesday, after which the prices saw a correction of more than 5%. The pair touched an intraday low of $3913 in today’s European trading session.

    ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of $4018 and Camarilla resistance level of $4016. ETH is gaining bullish uptrend today and is about to break its classic resistance level of $4057.

    Ether is expected to continue its uptrend move this week and reach the $4400 mark before this weekend. All the major technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal.

    ETH is now trading just above its 100 hourly simple moving averages. Moving averages crossover has been detected, signaling a potential change in trend towards $4400.

    • Ethereum recovered its losses and continues to trade above the $4000 level
    • Short-term to medium-term outlooks remain bullish for ETHUSD
    • Average true range indicates less market volatility
    • Moving averages crossover pattern seen in 5 hourly MA


    Ether’s Straight Uptrend Towards $4400


    ETHUSD price declined heavily against the US Dollar yesterday, but the dips remained well supported pushing it back above the important psychological level of $4000. ETH price is now building a positive momentum, and we could see some fresh gains in the US trading session today.

    ETH is now facing its next major resistance levels of $4100 and $4179 after which the path towards $4400 will get cleared.

    The relative strength index is at 56 indicating more upside potential for ETHUSD in the coming days. ETH has gained 2.82% with a price change of +$113.79 in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 23.695 Billion USD.

    Ethereum To Hit $6000 in 2021

    The Ethereum blockchain is moving towards Ethereum 2.0, which is proposed to be a much greener and faster version of the current system. The Altair upgrade to Beacon chain will likely push the prices of ETHUSD further up.

    Traders are now waiting for the release of the upgrade, and with renewed buying pressure the prices of Ethereum are expected to touch $6000 before the end of this year.

    The Week Ahead

    Ethereum price is moving in an uptrend from the starting of this month and the trend is expected to continue this week. We could witness a short-selling in the ETH for some time below the sub$4000 level as seen yesterday, but the dips will remain well supported marking the resumption of the bullish trend.

    We have seen moving averages crossover patterns for 5 hourly MA, and also for 5 day MA suggesting that both in the short- to medium-range the bullish outlook will continue.

    The price of ETHUSD has already broken 200 hourly simple and exponential moving averages and is on its way towards the $4400 handle this week.

    Technical Indicators:

    Average directional change (14-day): at 45.57 indicating a BUY

    Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 221.075 indicating a BUY

    Ultimate oscillator: at 62.62 indicating a BUY

    Commodity channel index (14-day): at 282.79 indicating OVERBOUGHT levels

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    AUD/USD and NZD/USD Aim More Upsides


    AUD/USD started a fresh increase above the 0.7500 resistance zone. NZD/USD also climbed higher and it might aim more upsides towards 0.7250.

    Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

    • The Aussie Dollar started a steady increase above the 0.7480 hurdle against the US Dollar.
    • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.7520 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
    • NZD/USD also gained pace after it broke the 0.7150 resistance.
    • There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.7175 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.


    AUD/USD Technical Analysis

    The Aussie Dollar found formed a base above the 0.7450 level and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair broke the 0.7480 and 0.7500 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

    The pair even broke the 0.7520 and 0.7540 resistance levels. It settled above the 0.7500 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. A high was formed near 0.7554 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating gains.

    AUD/USD Hourly Chart


    It traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7479 swing low to 0.7554 high. An initial support on the downside is near the 0.7525 level.

    The next major support is near the 0.7515 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the 0.7479 swing low to 0.7554 high. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.7520 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

    If there is a downside break below the 0.7515 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7480 level. An immediate resistance is near the 0.7550 level.

    The next major resistance is near the 0.7580 level. A close above the 0.7580 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7650.

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    GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Trade Near Key Support



    GBP/USD started a fresh decline and tested the 1.3680 support. EUR/GBP is rising, but it must stay above the 0.8440 support zone to continue higher.

    Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

    • The British Pound failed to gain pace above the 1.3800 and 1.3830 resistance levels.
    • There was a break below a major contracting triangle with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
    • EUR/GBP corrected lower from the 0.8475 resistance zone and declined below 0.8460.
    • There is a major bullish trend line forming with support 0.8440 on the hourly chart.


    GBP/USD Technical Analysis

    The British Pound attempted a key upside break above 1.3820 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair failed to gain momentum and started a fresh decline below 1.3750.

    The pair broke the 1.3720 support zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was also a break below a major contracting triangle with support near 1.3760 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

    GBP/USD Hourly Chart


    The pair spiked below 1.3700 and traded as low as 1.3665. It is now consolidating losses above the 1.3665 level. On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near 1.3700. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3814 swing high to 1.3665 low.

    If there is an upside break above the 1.3700 resistance, the price could surpass 1.3720. The next main resistance is near the 1.3740 zone. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3814 swing high to 1.3665 low.

    Any more gains could send the pair towards the 1.3800 level in the near term. An immediate support is near the 1.3665 level. A downside break below the 1.3665 support might even push the pair below the 1.3650 support zone.

    The next major support is near the 1.3600 level. Any more downsides might call for a move towards the 1.3550 level.

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    in ro ham eslah kon:
    BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 02nd NOV, 2021


    BTCUSD: Bullish Ascending Channel Above $60,000

    Bitcoin continues to trade steadily above $60,000 in the European trading session today. Yesterday, we saw the price of BTCUSD plummet below $60,000 but soon with renewed buying pressure it touched an intraday high of $62,443.

    The price of bitcoin is now in the consolidation phase after recovering from its losses last week which saw the prices touching a low of $58,212. This short-term bearish correction is a stepping stone towards its next leg of bull run towards $65,000.

    Bitcoin is now moving above its both 100 hourly simple and exponential moving averages. Relative strength index appears to be neutral signifying sideways movements for the time being.

    Medium to long term outlook remains bullish for BTCUSD with targets of $70,000 before the end of this month.

    Bitcoin is slowly pulling back from the selloff that was seen last week, and is in the process of creating a bullish ascending channel this week.

    • Bitcoin recovered from its losses last week and is now trading above its pivot level of $61,632
    • Williams percent range is indicating OVERBOUGHT level
    • The price is now trading above its classic support level of $61,200
    • All the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY signal at the current market level of $61,563


    Bitcoin: Recovery From Weekend Losses, March Towards $61,500


    BTCUSD has gone down by 8% from its all-time high price of $66,987, and we saw that this price action was achieved after sub-bearish moves below $60,000. This is an indication of a fresh upwards move in bitcoin which can break its all-time high level soon.

    The price of BTCUSD is now facing its Camarilla resistance level of $61,569 and Fibonacci resistance level of $61,891, after which the path towards $63,000 will get cleared.

    In the last 24hrs BTCUSD has gone DOWN by -0.26% with the price change of +104$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 34.007 billion.

    Bitcoin Volatility Index


    The volatility index of bitcoin shows the constant range of 85 to 95 in the preceding 3 months. This also has a significance since the value of holdings in bitcoin for the investors needs to remain stable.

    With the introduction of the bitcoin ETFs, we should expect stable price movement, continued appreciation in the form of attracting more cash investments, and increased total market capitalization.

    At present, the TMC of bitcoin is at $1,160 billion USD.

    The Week Ahead

    The price of BTCUSD is holding above the important psychological level of $60,000 and a positive momentum is seen in the short term range. It is crucial for the price to hold above the $60,000 handle for the next bitcoin rally towards $63,000.

    This week, BTCUSD is expected to cross $64,000, and aim for upsides of $66,000 to $68,500 the next week. Both the medium term and long term outlooks remain positive. Next week, we could witness BTC printing above the $65,000 mark.

    Technical Indicators:

    Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 183.82 indicating a BUY

    Commodity channel index (14-day): at 96.86 indicating a BUY

    Moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 140.50 indicating a BUY

    Ultimate oscillator: at 56.51 indicating a BUY

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