Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

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  1. #1361
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    Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
    Date : 18th March 2022.

    Market Update – March 18 – BOE move, BOJ stay put – Stocks, Yields & Oil bounce.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    The BOE raised rates as expected by 25 bps to 0.75% but were less clear about next steps, strong US data (Claims, Housing & Phily Fed Index) helped US stocks (+1.25) to close higher (best 3-day gain since 2020) again as the USD cooled and Yields & Oil rallied (no immediate breakthrough in ceasefire talks). Overnight No change from BOJ but JPY Inflation finally perking up. Asian stocks positive (Nikkei +0.65%). Japan & Australia added sanctions, Biden to call Xi, Putin talked to Erdogan, Blinkin said “war crimes have been committed in Ukraine”.

    * USD (USDIndex 98.12). Tested to 97.70 yesterday as weekly decline continues.
    *US Yields 10-yr up to 2.192% on close – down to 2.178% now.
    *Equities – USA500 +53.8 (+1.23%) and over 4400 to 4411. US500 FUTS flat at 4385 now. Tech & Fin rallied (FB & AMZN +2.0%, TSLA +3.73%, Occidental + 9.47%) and Berkshire Hathaway A-Shares breached $500,000 each!
    *USOil – Rallied back over $100.00 yesterday. to test $104.80 (200HR MA) now.
    *Gold – rallied to test $1950 yesterday, from Wednesdays flirt with $1900, trades at $1934 now.
    *Bitcoin holds the break of $40,000 yesterday, trades at $40,600 now.
    *FX markets – EURUSD back to 1.1078, unable to hold breach of 1.1100, USDJPY testing 119.00 & new 5-year highs at 118.85 and Cable having spiked over 1.3200 pre- BOE yesterday back to 1.3150 now, from 1.3100.

    European Open: The June 10-year Bund future is down -5 ticks, while US futures are posting slight gains. Gilts benefited yesterday from the BOE’s “dovish-hike”, but after the initial move lower in yields, we could see some consolidation today. The FTSE 100 futures is posting modest gains, after local markets got a boost from a drop in Sterling yesterday. The DAX is fractionally lower this morning as stagflation concerns make a come back.

    Today – US Existing Home Sales, CBR Policy Announcements, Quad Witching, Speeches from Fed’s Barkin, Bowman & Evans. Call between US President Biden and Chinese President Xi.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.52%) Rally continues after another big move yesterday from 84.60 lows Tuesday to test 88.00 now. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram strong but cooling, RSI 73, OB but rising, H1 ATR 0.150, Daily ATR 0.980.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

  2. #1362
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    Date : 21st March 2022.

    Market Update – March 18 – BOE move, BOJ stay put – Stocks, Yields & Oil bounce.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    Risk aversion continues to dominate as Russia’s attack intensifies and hopes of resolution through talks fade. Stagflation concerns and the longer term impact on the recovery are keeping a lid on stock markets and complicating the outlook for central banks. The BoE managed to pull off a “dovish rate hike” last week, China’s central bank kept lending rate unchanged in line with expectations, while SNB is expected to keep policy settings on hold this week. At the same time, China’s lockdown in the tech hub of Shenzhen threatens to lead to ongoing delays in long awaited deliveries. German PPI inflation hit 25.9% y/y in February – sharp rise in cost pressures even before the impact of the Ukraine war had really taken hold. Energy price inflation hit 68.0% y/y. No surprise that many at the ECB are getting nervous, especially as the risk of rising wage pressures is mounting.

    * USD steady (USDIndex 98.30)
    * Equities – After PBOC, Asian shares were down. ASX was down -0.2% at the close, while Hang Seng and CSI 300 are currently posting losses of -0.9% and -0.2% respectively. US futures are also in the red, after the strongest week since November 2020. GER40 and UK100 futures are down -0.2% and -0.02% respectively.
    * USOil – Rallied to $108.80 – attacks by Iran-backed rebels on energy facilities in Saudi Arabia pushed up prices.
    * Gold – remains under pressure at $1925.
    * Bitcoin holds the break of $40,000 yesterday, trades at $41,055 now.
    * FX markets – EURUSD back to 1.1050, unable to hold breach of 1.1100, USDJPY at 119.20 and Cable pullback to 1.3155.

    Today – There are a number of ECB and BoE speakers scheduled this week that could attract attention in nervous markets. PMI reports in particular will be in focus in light of Ukraine tensions and the pick up in energy prices.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USOIL (+4.03%) Rally continues to 109.36, reversing 50% of March losses. Fast MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram strong, RSI 79 and rising, H1 ATR 0.87, Daily ATR 9.25.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria PichidiCowell
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    Date : 22nd March 2022.

    Market Update – March 22 – Rate-hike bets weigh.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    The surge in Treasury yields was the story of Monday’s trading after Fed Chair Powell underscored the hawkish stance coming out of the FOMC meeting. The reaction in bonds showed a lot of jitters over the outlook and the ability of the Fed to achieve a soft landing. The US curve flattened markedly yesterday as the short end underperformed amid concern the Fed will hike rates aggressively. Stock market sentiment still looked much better across Asia than in Europe and even the US. The US Dollar was sought as oil prices lifted with WTI currently trading at $114.90. Energy prices are on the rise again and central banks are set to rein in stimulus with ECB’s Rehn yesterday confirming that in the central scenario the ECB is eyeing a lift off in rates for Q4 or maybe Q1 next year. Wall Street was depressed in choppy action, correcting from the prior week’s healthy gains as the FOMC looks to rein in demand to help address the inflation pop, which now looks to be longer lasting and more widespread due to the supply shock from the Ukraine war.

    * USD up (USDIndex 98.94).
    * 10-year Treasury rate is up 4.7 bp, the 2-year 7.0 bp, June 10-year Bund future is down 70 ticks, US futures are down -12 ticks. The JGB rate has lifted 1.1 bp and rates in Australia and New Zealand jumped 14.0 bp and 13.0 bp respectively in catch up trade.
    * Equities – Nikkei lifted 1.5%, ASX lifted 0.86%, and the Hang Seng jumped 2.1%, even as US futures declined. Hong Kong was boosted by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd’s $25 bln share buyback program and by contrast, the CSI 300 is currently slightly in the red. The USA30 slid -0.58%, with the USA100 sliding -0.4%, while the USA500 was off -0.04%.
    * USOil – renewed rise in oil prices, to $112.22 – currently lower to 108.68.
    * Gold – remains under pressure at $1934.
    * Bitcoin breaches the $43,400, trades at $42,185 now.
    * FX markets – EURUSD dips to 1.0960, USDJPY climbed to 120.48 and Cable rallied to 1.3136.

    Today – UK public finance data and even more so the presentation of the budget will be of interest also for markets. The calendar today has Eurozone current account data, which is unlikely to attract too much attention.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) BTCUSD (+2.63%) Rally continues to 43,437, breaking the top of March 18. Fast MAs flattened along with RSI (59) but MACD signal line & histogram remain strong, implying near term pullback. H1 ATR 479.989, Daily ATR 2405.790.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria PichidiCowell
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    Date : 23rd March 2022.

    Market Update – March 23 – “Inflation leads”.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    European bond markets have sold off today following, Bund future is down -15 ticks, US futures are also lower, with yields extending the March spike across the globe. Curves shifted higher pretty much across the board, but with the short end underperforming slightly amid lingering stagflation concerns. UK’s inflation today hit 6.2% y/y (30-year highs) in February. The RPI – still an important measure for wage negotiations – stood at 8.3% y/y in February and coupled with an increasingly tight labour market the risk of second round inflation effects clearly are rising, as is the pressure on the government to do something to ease the jump in the cost of living.

    Ukraine developments aside, fiscal responses to the jump in energy prices also are in focus this week, as governments discuss ways to cushion the impact and the UK budget is set to be unveiled today.

    Companies are not only facing a sharp rise in energy costs, but also supply chain disruptions as the Ukraine war puts a stop to deliveries of intermediate goods that have disrupted German car production in particular. At the same time, China’s lockdown in the tech-hub of Shenzen threatens to lead to ongoing delays in long awaited deliveries.

    * USD is ranging(USDIndex 98.50).
    * 10-year Treasury has lifted 1.3 bp to 2.395% overnight.
    * Equities – Stock markets remained supported across Asia, and GER40 and UK100 futures are posting gains of 0.8% and 0.7% respectively, with US futures also higher, but underperforming.Wall Street continued to see the glass half full and rallied, led by the USA100 1.95% pop, with the USA500 up 1.13% and the USA30 0.74% higher. Nikkei has rallied another 3%.
    * USOil – firm above the $105 per barrel mark and Ukraine developments remain in focus, although stock markets still seem back in demand.
    * Gold – remains under pressure at $1919.
    * Bitcoin pullback to the $41,700.
    * FX markets – EURUSD steady at 1.1020, USDJPY extends to 121.40 and Cable crossed 20-DMA , currently at 1.3260.

    Today – Chancellor Sunak will present his spring budget today amid mounting pressure that he ditches the planned rise in national insurance contributions.Looking ahead PMI reports (Thursday) in particular will be in focus in the light of Ukraine tensions and the pick up in energy prices.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDUSD (+0.23%) Rallied to 0.7476. Fast MAs flattened along with RSI (59) while MACD histogram turn below signal line, implying near term pullback/consolidation. H1 ATR 0.0012, Daily ATR 0.0084.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria PichidiCowell
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    vá»› vẩn đây lÃ* ý kiến của riêng mình thấy cÅ©ng khá ok

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    vớ vẩn Vote cho bạn

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    Date : 24th March 2022.

    Market Update – March 24 – Stocks come back?


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    Treasuries recovered yesterday after some hefty losses in recent sessions pushed some rates up to the cheapest levels since May 2019. Reports of big inflows into Treasuries from quarterly portfolio rebalancing supported the rally, as did a stellar 20-year sale. And buying begot more buying to leave rates measurably lower.

    Today there is a somewhat different picture than yesterday, as bonds rallied across the board and stocks traded mixed. Japanese markets corrected some of this week’s stellar gains after the minutes to the latest BoJ meeting showed officials flagging the risk of overshooting inflation. Oil prices are consolidating at high levels, as the Ukraine war drags on. For Europe, Putin’s demand that future gas deliveries should be paid in rubles raised the risk of imminent embargoes, as it may force the west to break its own sanctions. Energy prices will remain high then, putting pressure on governments to ease the burden for consumers and complicating the outlook for central banks. The UK budget was based on a sharply lower growth projection and a markedly higher inflation forecast and more revisions could well be necessary.

    * USD up (USDIndex 98.88).
    * 10-year Bund future is slightly higher, while the Treasury future is down 8 ticks, and in cash markets the US 10-year rate has lifted 4.7 bps to 2.339%.
    * Equities – Tencent Holdings Ltd reported its slowest pace of quarterly growth on record, which kept a lid on the Hang Seng. In the ASX there were gains for miners and others benefiting from stronger commodity prices. DAX and FTSE 100 futures up 0.1% and a 0.5% rise in the NASDAQ is leading US futures higher.
    * USOil – consolidated at high levels and USOIL is now at $114.89 after posting a high at 116.62.
    * Gold – ranging at $1943.
    * Bitcoin up, retesting the $43,500 resistance level again.
    * FX markets – EURUSD down to 1.0974, USDJPY extends to 121.73 and Cable steady at yesterday’s low, at 1.3179.

    Today – SNB and Norges Bank are set to announce policy today, with the latter seen delivering another rate hike. Data releases include preliminary PMI reports for the Eurozone, UK and US, along with Durable goods.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USDCHF (+0.32%) Rebounded to 0.9344. Fast MAs aligned higher, RSI at 60 and Stochastic at OB, while MACD remains negative. H1 ATR 0.00088, Daily ATR 0.00658.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria PichidiCowell
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    Date : 28th March 2022.

    Market Update – March 28 – Yen, Oil & Stocks Dive as BOJ Remains “Ultra Loose”.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    BOJ announced unlimited bond buying policy, but yields still rose and YEN crashed, pulling down Asian stock & Oil markets, also hit by a strict 11-day lockdown in Shanghai (27 mill.). The US Treasury 5-to-30-yr yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2006, history suggests slowdown & possible recession. US 10-yr back over 2.5%. USD bid. APPLE talks of long-term subscription model moving away from selling products, as it reduces supply of iPhone SE & AirPods.

    Biden & Blinkin “clarify” – “Putin cannot remain in power” comments, Zelensky talks of neutrality but insists on geographic integrity, walking back earlier comments. Russian & Ukrainian negotiators to meet in Istanbul later. Israel hosts 4-Arab states & Blinkin, NK tests more ICBM’s. Japan tightens FX laws and Crypto loopholes to sanction Russia.

    Week Ahead – US NFP (380k), US, UK and Canada GDP and many central bankers’ speeches.

    * USD (USDIndex 99.14). closed Friday 98.85. Friday’s US data weak (Pending Home Sales at 2-yr low & Consumer Sentiment at 11-yr low)
    * US Yields 10-yr up to 2.53% currently & new 3-yr highs, from Friday’s close 2.492%
    Equities – USA500 +22.90 (+0.51%) 4543. US500 FUTS now at 4519 now. (Closed up +1.8% last week – Nasdaq best performer last week +2.0%.
    * USOil – Fell to start the new week to $108.94 now – from Friday’s close at $112.50
    * Gold – slipped to $1935 now, from Fridays close at $1955.
    * Bitcoin breaks up 4.4% from the 42k-45K range to $46,800 now.
    * FX markets – EURUSD back to test 1.0950, unable to hold breach of 1.1000, USDJPY over 123.00 & new 7-year highs and Cable back to 1.3130 now, from over 1.3200 on Friday.

    European Open-The June 10-year Bund future is down -78 ticks at 157.87, underperforming versus Treasuries. A lockdown in Shanghai weighed on the CSI overnight and left oil prices lower, while the Ukraine war’s drag on Europe’s energy costs is set to remain extremely high, with the resulting spike in the cost of living hitting consumers and consumption trends in many countries. In the UK that has already become apparent and last week’s budget offered not enough relief to soothe concerns. DAX and FTSE 100 are up 0.056% and 0.054% respectively at the moment. A cautious start for stocks then into a data heavy week that brings the final round of Eurozone confidence numbers for March and preliminary inflation reports that are likely to look ugly.

    Today – ASEAN summit, US 2yr and 5yr supply, Trade Goods Balance & US Inventories. Speech from BoE Governor Bailey.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.98%) Big move against JPY today, continues trend of weaker YEN. MAs aligned higher, MACD signal line & histogram strong but cooling, RSI 71, OB but rising, H1 ATR 0.281, Daily ATR 1.120.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    Date : 29th March 2022.

    Market Update – March 29 – Yields in focus, Oil down again, TESLA rallies.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    USD holds gains (USDJPY broke 125.00) and Treasury market fell again with US Treasury 5-to-30-yr yield curve remaining inverted suggesting economic slowdown & possible recession. US 10-yr slips back under 2.5%. Oil markets slumped (-1.0%) again on worries from Shanghai lockdown. US stocks rallied (NASDAQ +1.71%) growth stocks (TESLA +8%) gained as Banks & Energy stocks (Exxon -2.81%) fell. Asian markets higher (Nikkei & ASX +0.8%) except Chinese stocks.



    BoE’s Bailey warned of a worse energy crisis than in the 70s, & highlighted that the BoE had already softened its rate guidance, even as it hiked rates again and flagged the chance of further tightening. Russian & Ukrainian negotiators meet in Istanbul later today. Limited expectations. Israel/Arab summit talked of united front to confront Iran. Biden proposed $5.79 trillion budget for next year increasing spending on Defence & raising taxes on wealthy. UK Met. Police to issue “Partygate” fines “imminently”.

    Overnight – AUD Retail Sales better than expected (1.8% vs 0.9% & 1.8%)) & JPY Unemployment better (2.7% vs 2.8% & 2.8%) German GfK Consumer confidence missed -15.5 vs -14.6 & -8.1 last time).

    * USD (USDIndex 99.00). Rallied to top at 99.35 yesterday.
    * US Yields 10-yr up to 2.53% new 3-yr highs yesterday, now down to 2.483%
    * Equities – USA500 +32.01 (+0.71%) 4575. US500 FUTS now at 4572 now. TSLA suggested another stock split and rallied over 8.0%, AMC up over +45% as the meme stocks raised their heads again.
    * USOil – Fell again (over 1.1%) to $102.80 yesterday, but has recovered $105.00.
    * Gold – slipped to $1916 yesterday from Friday’s close $1955. Back to $1922 now.
    * Bitcoin holds onto gains over 45K to top at 48.1K, yesterday, back to 47.5k now.
    * FX markets – EURUSD back to test 1.1000, now after 1.0950 test yesterday, USDJPY over 125.00 & new 7-yr highs back to 123.40 now as JP Government signals worries over weak Yen. Cable back to 1.3066 yesterday, recovered 1.3100 now.

    European Open-The June 10-year Bund future is down 33 ticks, while in cash markets the 2-year Treasury yield is up 2.8 bp. Curve flattening continues as markets fret about the risk that aggressive central bank action will sap demand. DAX and FTSE 100 futures are up 0.9% and 0.6% respectively, US futures are also slightly higher, after a largely positive session across Asia, with hopes of progress in scheduled peace talks between Russia and Ukraine this week helping to underpin confidence.

    Today – US JOLTS, CB Consumer Confidence & Case-Schiller Housing Index. Speeches from Fed’s Williams, Bostic & Harker, ECB’s Kazimir. EARNINGS – Micron & Lululemon.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.34%) BOJ & Japanese Government raise concerns over weak Yen, following break of 125.00. MAs turned lower, MACD signal line & histogram now cooling, RSI 49.55, OB but rising, H1 ATR 0.403, Daily ATR 1.123.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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    in ro ham eslah kon:
    Date : 30th March 2022.

    Market Update – March 30 – USD Dips, Stocks Rally, Yen Recovers.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    USD & Yields dipped and Stocks & Euro rallied (NASDAQ 1.84%) following Russia-Ukraine negotiations. US data (Case-Schiller Housing Index, JOLTS & Consumer Confidence) all stronger than expected adding to high inflation and tight jobs market scenario. Yen recovered on chatter of BOJ intervention, and Oil & Gold dipped before recovering. The yield curve extended it’s inversion as 10-yr yields dipped under 2.0% before lifting. Asian markets followed US higher (Nikkei & ASX +1.0%, Shanghai 1.51%).



    Overnight – JPY Retail Sales missed (-0.8%% vs -0.3% & 1.1%) German regional CPI coming in hotter than expected (i.e. North Rhine Westphalia March CPI +7.6% vs +5.3%).

    * USD (USDIndex 98.16). Dipped further to 98.00 zone before recovering.
    * US Yields 10-yr closed at 2.40% and under 2.0% overnight, now back to 2.36%
    * Equities – USA500 +56.01 (+1.23%) 4631. US500 FUTS 4572 now. APPLE rose for an 11th consecutive day (+1.91%), HOOD up over +24% following AMC rally (+45%) the day before and GME dropped -5.11% 45% as the meme stocks raised their heads again.
    * USOil – Fell again (over 1.0%) to $98.65 yesterday, but has recovered to $107.00.
    * Gold – slipped to $1890 yesterday from Friday’s close at $1955. Back to $1925 now.
    * Bitcoin holds onto gains over 45K to top at 48.1K, yesterday, back to 47.4k now.
    * FX markets – EURUSD back to test 1.1136 now after 1.0950 test Monday, USDJPY over 125.00 & new 7-yr highs Monday back to 122.00 now as JP Government signals worries over weak Yen. Cable back to 1.3120 now.

    European Open-The June 10-year Bund future is up 43 ticks, US futures are also higher, DAX and FTSE 100 futures are down -0.1% and up 0.1% respectively, as the initial euphoria over the positive headlines on the progress of Russia-Ukraine peace talks has faded. It still seems a long way to a final agreement and oil prices have backed up from lows under $100 seen in the wake of the initial headlines on the talks yesterday. Meanwhile concern that aggressive central bank action will sap the recovery is lingering. The 2-10 year part of the U.S. Treasury curve inverted yesterday for the first time since 2019, but while the 2-year has dropped back again since, 3 and 5 year rates are still holding above the 10 year. ECB chief economist Lane was out yesterday repeating that a rate hike in Q4 is not cast in stone and that rate moves will be data dependent.

    Today – German CPI Prelim, US ADP & GDP (Final/Q4), Speeches from Fed’s Barkin, Bostic & George, ECB’s Lagarde, BoE’s Broadbent.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (07:30 GMT) USDJPY (-0.76%) Fear of BOJ intervention lifted YEN pairs. Next support 121.00 MAs turned lower, MACD signal line & histogram now below 0 line and cooling, RSI 36, H1 ATR 0.310, Daily ATR 1.31.

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    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

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    Stuart Cowell
    Head Market Analyst
    HotForex

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