Daily Technical Analysis by FxGrow

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    Daily Technical Analysis by FxGrow
    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 14th Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    Gold Initiated Upward Correction With Potential of a Trend Reversal, Eyes on U.S Data

    After Last week's major break for the sideways congestion, gold plunged to five months fresh-lows at 1236.55 on Tuesday, then started upward correction first as a result of the deep down dips, second as a response to yesterday's FOMC's priced in news and a neutral statement without giving any new perspectives for 2018 outlook. The precious metal rallied yesterday from 1240.35, and recorded 1257.15 high. Today, gold extended the bulls action with only +$3 after clocking 1259.15 high, currently trading 1258 intraday.

    On technical level, gold is currently test 10-EMA level at 1259 with expectations for 20-EMA testing at 1263-5 and in case gold closed above 10-EMA, this should be considered as first warning for trend reversal. Add to that, Tuesday's and yesterday's daily bullish grabbers support further upside action but it still early to determine if the upward correction is an introduction for trend reversal or the precious metal could drop beyond 1236 level, aimed at 1228 first, 1210+ area. Daily RSI was at 31 level on Tuesday, at that level, gold often started a bullish trend as market is oversold.

    As for U.S dollar index, we can see that DXY bulls were contained by downtrend resistance line which was tested successfully and has formed a perfect head and shoulders pattern both on Daily and H4 time frame with AB leg = CD leg, and next target for the Dollar Index will be around 91.00 unless DXY rallied beyond 94.00 erasing the head and shoulders pattern, then we should expect more pressure on the gold.

    Fundamentally, if we go back in memory, i late 2016 when the Feds hiked, gold showed an opposite reaction with a rally started from 1195 as market was already trading the fact that rates are done deal. Today U.S will release major data with Retail Sales in focus and depending on gold hourly behavior and daily closing price, we can draw a better technical image for XAUUSD next move.


    XAUUSD and U.S Dollar Technical Overview:


    MAR US DOLLAR Technical Overview

    Closing price: 93.024

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 93.75, 94.05, 94.35

    Support levels: 93.31, 93.16, 92.77

    Trend: Sideways / Up

    Trend reversal price: 92.77

    Comment: The market shows a short term bottoming / bullish pattern, but rallies were capped by 93.755* resistance, prompting yesterday's drop off. Be prepared for near term negative / corrective action and chance to test 92.77* support. A close under 9277* signals a short term negative turnover, but initially suspect a bounce off 9277*. A close over 93755* is short term bullish and will spark further upside action at 94.05, next 94.35

    XAUUSD Technical overview


    Closing price: 1255.60

    Target price: 1231

    Resistance levels: 1257+/-, 1263.10*

    Support levels: 1250.30-00, 1244.50*, 1231-

    Trend: Down

    Trend reversal price: 1263.10

    Comment: Overall the market is bearish, still showing potential for a drop to 1231. Yesterday's spike higher starts near term corrections and we could see trade again try to rally. Corrections will likely find downside forces keeping trade in sideways congestion, stopped in the upper 1250's. A close over 1263.10* is needed to secure a reversing turnaround. A close under 1244.50* should renew selloffs/bear trending.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 19th Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBP/USD Intraday: continuation of the rebound.


    Pivot: 1.3360

    Our preference: long positions above 1.3360 with targets at 1.3420 & 1.3445 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: below 1.3360 look for further downside with 1.3330 & 1.3300 as targets.

    Comment: the RSI shows upside momentum.

    Supports and resistances:
    1.3470
    1.3445
    1.3420
    1.3391 Last
    1.3360
    1.3330
    1.3300

    USD/JPY Intraday: consolidation.


    Pivot: 112.75

    Our preference: short positions below 112.75 with targets at 112.30 & 112.05 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: above 112.75 look for further upside with 113.00 & 113.25 as targets.

    Comment: the upward potential is likely to be limited by the resistance at 112.75.

    Supports and resistances:
    113.25
    113.00
    112.75
    112.50 Last
    112.30
    112.05
    111.85

    EUR/USD Intraday: further advance.


    Pivot: 1.1775

    Our preference: long positions above 1.1775 with targets at 1.1835 & 1.1865 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: below 1.1775 look for further downside with 1.1760 & 1.1740 as targets.

    Comment: the RSI shows upside momentum.

    Supports and resistances:
    1.1885
    1.1865
    1.1835
    1.1810 Last
    1.1775
    1.1760
    1.1740

    AUD/USD Intraday: the bias remains bullish.


    Pivot: 0.7650

    Our preference: long positions above 0.7650 with targets at 0.7680 & 0.7695 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: below 0.7650 look for further downside with 0.7635 & 0.7615 as targets.

    Comment: the RSI shows upside momentum.

    Supports and resistances:
    0.7720 **
    0.7695 ***
    0.7680 ***
    0.7670 Last
    0.7650 ***
    0.7635 ***
    0.7615 ***

    Crude Oil‏ (WTI)‏ (F18) Intraday: turning up.


    Pivot: 56.80

    Our preference: long positions above 56.80 with targets at 57.85 & 58.15 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: below 56.80 look for further downside with 56.45 & 56.10 as targets.

    Comment: the RSI calls for a rebound.

    Supports and resistances:
    58.55
    58.15
    57.85
    57.40 Last
    56.80
    56.45
    56.10

    Gold spot Intraday: further upside.


    Pivot: 1256.50

    Our preference: long positions above 1256.50 with targets at 1267.00 & 1272.00 in extension.

    Alternative scenario: below 1256.50 look for further downside with 1250.50 & 1245.00 as targets.

    Comment: the RSI is bullish and calls for further advance.

    Supports and resistances:
    1276.50
    1272.00
    1267.00
    1263.61 Last
    1256.50
    1250.50
    1245.00


    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBP/USD Extends Consolidation Sessions, Looking for Cues By Carney


    GBP/USD edged up on Asian trading session with 1.3400 high but failed to press forward and dipped to 1.3374 low, currently trading 1.3388 intraday. On technical level, the pair managed to close above 10-EMA yesterday and currently flirting at it at 1.3380. Any upward action for the cable today should be contaminated at 1.3450 strong resistance area as the pair still failed to break it since last week.

    Fundamentally, BOE's Gov. Carney will cross wires today on NY opening sessions where he will testify on the November Financial Stability Report before the Treasury Select Committee, which should offer fresh impetus to the GBP. On the other hand, Brexit negotiations with absence of clear terms still weights negatively on the pound and market is awaiting for fresh details as a BBC report mentioned that the Bank of England (BOE) is set to unveil plans allowing European banks to operate in the UK as normal post-Brexit. As for the greenback, tax bill vote should see the light either today and tomorrow followed by a press conference by president Trump which will set the tone for the U.S Dollar facing GBP.

    GBP/USD Technical overview:

    Closing price: 1.3384

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 1.3450-60, 1.3500

    Support levels: 1.3310, 1.3235+/-

    Trend: Sideways / Down

    Trend reversal price: 1.3454

    Comment: The market is still biased down, contained under 1.3450* resistance. A roll off from Mon-Tuesday's sideways days open up potential for selloffs to 1.3235 and chance to stretch for the low 13200's. Trade may again congest in Mon-Friday's range, but tight congestion will bear flag. A close over 1.3454* is needed for a short term reversing upturn.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 20th Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    Crude Oil Inches Higher As API Report Shows A Drop in U.S Inventories


    Crude oil inaugurated Monday's trading session with clocking 57.86 high and has been trading cautious-flat since Monday. Yesterday, API report mentioned that U.S. crude inventories fell by 5.2 million barrels in the week to Dec. 15 to 438.7 million and the ongoing outage of the North Sea Forties pipeline system (Reuters), which gave oil some solid ground hanging above 57 level.

    Market is awaiting U.S Inventories release today in the afternoon which should bring fresh impetus for oil levels. On the other hand, Reuters has mentioned that most analysts expect U.S. output to break through 10 million bpd soon, which would be a new record and take it to levels on par with top exporter Saudi Arabia and close to top producer Russia, which pumps around 11 million bpd.

    Crude Oil Technical Overview:

    Closing price: (57.66)

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 57.65*, 58.01, 58.60

    Support levels: 56.77, 56.18, 55.88

    Trend: Sideways

    Trend reversal price: 57.65

    Comment: The market closed up around the 57.65* resistance and balance level between short term bull / bear trend forces. Another close over 57.65* signals for climbing moves to challenge recent highs. A rejection from 5765* today and close under 55.88 rekindles bear forces for a selling wave to 54.50-00.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 21st Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    Gold Shows Bearish Pattern Ahead of U.S GDP Data


    Gold extended recovery through the week, rallying from 1252.85 low on Monday and clocking 1268.35 high on Thursday, overall $15.50 as an upward correction after dipping to 1236 on 12 Dec.

    Technically, gold closed above 10-EMA and 20-EMA successfully on daily level, which indicates a bullish trend, but the upward action is seen limited and weak. Also we can notice that since gold started the recovery, it's still inside 6th and 7th daily candles borders. On H4 time frame, we can notice that gold is stuck inside a rising wedge which is almost coming to an end, should not break above 1270, and afterwards, technically gold should break downward heavily.

    Fundamentally, the U.S is due to release final GDP for 2017 last quarter which should shake the market in current seasonal holidays where price action all over is dull and slow.

    Spot Gold Technical Overview:


    Closing price: 1265.40

    Target price: 1277

    Resistance levels: 1267, 1269, 1276

    Support levels: 1258, 1254, 1248*

    Trend: Sideways / Up

    Comment: The market has muscled a short term upturn and suggests climbing moves to 1278-1281. Trade is positioned to extend rallies. A push over 1269.80+ will fuel rallies. Any corrective dips that hold the upper-mid 1250's should maintain the positive upturn. A close under 1248* is needed for a bear turnover into a secondary selling wave aimed at 1230 area.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 22nd Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    GBP/USD: Still Struggling To Break The 1.3400 Handle Ahead of UK Data


    GBP/USD still trading dull through the week with failure to close above 1.3400 level, trading flat with consolidation congestion. The pair dipped today to 1.3364 at 20-EMA and tested successfully with a rebounce. Yesterday, the cable found some support and managed to overcome losses after plunging to 1.3331, and closed at 1.3385 after disappointing U.S GDP outcome 3.2% while expectations were at 3.3% and above.

    Today, the pound awaits Current Account and Final GDP for last quarter of 2017 which should give push GBP/USD into newer levels and break out of the triangle that is seen stuck inside. As for the U.S Dollar, Core Durable Goods data + Core PCE Index ( Feds favorite indicator ), both are due as NY session opens.

    GBP/USD technical overview:

    Closing price: 1.3385

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 1.3400 1.3454*

    Support levels: 1.3314, 1.3235+/-

    Trend: Sdwys/Down

    Trend reversal price: 1.3454*

    Comment: The market is still biased down, contained under 1.3454* resistance. A roll off from this week's sideways days open up potential for selloffs to 13285 and chance to stretch for the low 13200's. Trade may again congest in Mon-last Friday's ranges, but tight congestion will bear flag. A close over 1.3454* is needed for a short term reversing upturn.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 22nd Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EUR/USD Dips Over Spain's Political Uncertainty, Eyes On U.S Data


    EUR/USD received a punch on Friday's trading sessions as Catalan's referendum taking major headlines news with increasing pace through media. As a result the pair dipped at 1.1816 low this morning but strongly succeeded in climb back at 1.1850 at this moment.

    Senior currency strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo crossed wires earlier quoting: “The overall impact of the Catalan vote on the euro and the wider global markets is likely to be limited, however. Catalonia cannot become a sovereign state if no other country recognizes its independence. It won’t even be able to have its own currency under such conditions.”

    However, it could take more time to know for sure how market will react as events accelerate especially that at the moment it's holidays season. The real impact will start to shape up in the coming days after Tuesday.

    Technically, the pair was testing 5-EMA level the past three trading sessions and successfully bouncing off, and with 10-EMA below, currently EUR/USD is still considered in an uptrend motion especially that the dip this morning was targeting 20-EMA with a rebounce.

    Fundamentally, U.S is set to release Core Durable Goods Order data along with Personal Spending and Personal Income, and PCE Index Feds favorite intake which should give some heads up on how the pair will trade before this week trading session comes to and end.

    EUR/USD technical overview:

    Closing price: 1.1873

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 1.1950-70, 1.2010

    Support levels: 1.1850+/-, 1.1815*

    Trend: Sdwys/Up

    Trend reversal price: 1.1815*

    Comment The short term trend is shifting up and calls for rallies to push for a breakout over the previous swing highs and could stretch out to 1.1950 as well as 1.2050+. Any corrective dips must hold over 1.1815* + to continue the shifting turn to higher levels. A close under 1.1815* flips the short term trend forces down for a drop under 1.1757-.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 28th Dec, 2017
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    Gold Bulls Overtake DXY Bears, 1300+?

    An impressive rally for gold with 568 pips, $56.80, since 12 of Dec after plunging to 1236.55 low. On the other hand, the U.S dollar bears are still in action clocking 92.33, lowest since four weeks, still pushing gold higher today with 1293.35 high for today.

    Technically, with 5-EMA crossing above 10-EMA and 20-EMA indicates that gold is expected to expand the upside ride if the precious metal managed to close 2017 session above 1290 which will indicate a weekly bullish engulfing candle for previous bear candles, and more important is Dec 2017 monthly candle which is shaping a bullish grabber that signals for a retesting of 2017's highs.

    U.S Dollar and XAUUSD Technical Overview:


    MAR US DOLLAR

    Closing price: (92.80)

    Target price: 92.73 (Achieved

    Resistance levels: 92.99-93.03

    Support levels: 92.58-92.54

    Trend: Down

    Swing Target: 92.54

    Range Reversal: 0.44

    Comment 1* Market showing a breakout under a previous daily swing low and should quickly extend selloffs. Failure to extend the breakout now alerts for a bear failure. A close back over 93.06 signals a breakout failure and turnaround. 2* Yesterday's close signals breakout under a previous daily swing low and should prompt continuation selloffs the next 1-3 days. Sustained trade under the previous low will help motivate selloffs. Corrections should not close above 93.06 to maintain the breakout. 3* The downside objectives for this formation range from 92.54 to 92.41 with a close over 93.10 needed to negate a bear trading stance.

    Gold Technical Overview:


    Closing price: 1287.05

    Target price: 1289.74 ( Achieved )

    Resistance levels: 1291.82-1295.50

    Support levels: 1287 1281.41-1279.11

    Trend: Up

    Swing Target: 1303.30

    Range Reversal: 12.21

    Comment 1* Historical analysis of this minor swing pattern shows a definite bullish bias for today's action, with the odds of this market taking out yesterday's high in the next two trading sessions around 71 percent. 2* Market is challenging a previous daily swing high and may attempt a breakout. Closing beyond 1292.50 calls for continuation rallies. A failure around 1292.50 cautions for a reactionary setback. 3* The upside target zone for this pattern is from 1303.30 to 1345.70 with a close under 1255.44 needed to negate a bull trading stance. 4* Market is within proximity of this week's projected resistance range of 1307.90-1295.18, which may provide a likely zone for topping action or setbacks.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
    FxGrow
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 08th Jan, 2018
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    Gold And EUR/USD technical Overview Ahead of NFP


    Gold inaugurated Friday trading session with almost $7 losses after peeking to 1323.43 high as a correction with expectations for more upward action in the coming trading sessions. With daily RSI above 70 indicating an overbought market, it is expected that the precious metal could test 5-EMA at 1312 and 10-EMA at 1302 which could recoup gold bulls before extending further upside action.

    As for EUR/USD, the pair clocked 4-months fresh highs yesterday at 1.2088 with expectations to take 2017's highs and extend gains at 1.2230.

    Gold Technical Overview:

    Closing price: 1321.94

    Target price: None

    Resistance levels: 1318 - 1328 - 1334

    Support levels: 1314/12 - 1305

    Trend reversal price: 1293

    Comment: The market is bullish and it shows potential at 1328+/- and 1350. Trade is positioned to extend rallies today, but be in guard for stall and setback around 1328+/-. Any corrections that last two days and stays over yesterday's lows will maintain bull forces. A drop under 1305 alerts for a near term reversal info corrections back under 1300-. cautioning for back tracking 1293* and in case gold closed below it, the trend will shift downward.

    EUR/USD Technical overview:


    closing price: 1.2068

    target price: 1.2100

    Resistance levels: 1.2100 - 1.2150

    support levels: 1.2020 - 1.1990 - 1.1950*

    Trend reversal price: 1.1950*

    Comment: The short term trend is up and pressing rallies give bull signals for a run at 1.2100+. A close over 1.2100 is bullish. A back off from 1.2100 cautions for 1-2 corrective - flagging setback days. Corrective dips should now should now fight to hold over 1.1990 to maintain upside momentum forces. Although, only a close below 1.1950* flips the short term trend forces down.

    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
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    FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 08th Jan, 2018
    By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

    EUR/USD Plunges at 10-EMA Over Recovering U.S Dollar


    EUR/USD dipped on Morning trading session to 1.1976 flirting with 10-EMA (1.1980) successfully with a re-bounce after four consolidation sessions last week. The pair received a positive Retail Sales in Eurozone at 1.5% while expectations were at 1.4% which should keep EUR bulls in action. On the other hand, the U.S Dollar is showing signs of recovery after surging to $92.02 high today adding more pressure on EUR/USD. Currently, the pair is trading 1.2002 intraday.

    With absence of strong fundamentals today, eyes will be shifted towards FOMC members as they cross wires today in the afternoon. Both Bostic and Williams with expectations that comments from Williams will have more weight considering the occasion and the topic.

    EUR/USD Technical Overview:

    Closing price: 1.2041

    Target price: 1.2100

    Resistance levels: 1.2065, 1.2100, 1.2150

    Support levels: 1.2000 , 1.1980 (10-EMA) , 1.1900

    Trend: Sideways / Up

    Trend reversal price: 1.1945

    Comment: The short term trend is up and pressing rallies give bull signals for a run to 1.2100+. A close over 1.2150 is bullish. A roll off from last week's congestion alerts for 2-4 days of retracements / defensive congestion. However, only a close under 1.1945 marks a short term reversing downturn.
    For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

    Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
    FxGrow
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