Daily Market News by TradingForexcom

[TF2012]

Published On: Tue, 02 Oct 2012

The dollar fell against most major currencies on Tuesday after solid U.S. manufacturing data published earlier, sparking a risk-on trading session. In the U.S. earlier, the Institute of Supply Management's U.S. purchasing managers' index beat expectations in September, rising to 51.5 from 49.6 in August. Analysts had expected the ISM manufacturing PMI to rise to 49.7 last month. The news boosted spirits in global markets, enticing investors out of the safety of the U.S. dollar and into higher-yielding currencies and stocks. Meanwhile, the euro and other currencies saw demand after Spain's finance minister reportedly said the country was studying financial aid game plans with the European Central Bank. Spain announced recent bank stress tests revealed financial institutions need just shy of EUR60 billion to return to health, and European Union Commissioner Olli Rehn said earlier that he doesn't expect bank recapitalization efforts to affect the country's structural deficit. Rehn added the country's 2012 deficit target is within reach. Further fueling the risk-on session, the euro zone unemployment rate remained unchanged at 11.4% in August, in line with expectations.

[TF2012]

Published On: Wed, 03 Oct 2012

The dollar rose against most major currencies on Wednesday after investors sought out the safe and liquid greenback to await official news over a Spanish bailout. Concerns retail sales in Europe due out later may disappoint sparked demand for the dollar as well. A Reuters report that Spain may request a bailout in the coming days bolstered the euro early, even though Germany was reportedly urging Madrid to hold off. A bailout could open the door for the European Central Bank to buy sovereign Spanish debt carrying maturities of up to three years, which would lower borrowing costs in the crisis-weary country. Yet until Spain requests a bailout or rejects plans to do so, uncertainty will keep the currency moving up and down in choppy trading, as was the case on Wednesday. European policymakers are due to hold a summit later this month, and anticipation of announcements concerning Spain and other crisis-related issues moved the euro up and down against safe-haven currencies such as the dollar. Later Wednesday, the euro zone will release retail sales figures, and concerns the data may disappoint sent the euro and other higher-yielding dipping against the greenback as did a Reserve Bank of Australia decision to cut benchmark interest rates to by 25 basis points to 3.25%. Meanwhile in the U.S., payroll processor ADP will release its September report on private-sector hiring on Thursday while on Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the country's official September jobs report. Uncertainty over the health of the U.S. labor market sent investors to the greenback as well. However, the Federal Reserve is currently running a third round of quantitative easing, a monetary stimulus tool that sees the U.S. central bank buying USD40 billion in mortgage-backed securities a month to spur recovery. Such policy tools weaken the greenback, which dampened the dollar's gains on Wednesday. Later Wednesday, the U.S. will release industry data on non-farm employment change, followed by a report by the Institute for Supply Management on non-manufacturing activity, as well as government data on crude oil stockpiles.

[TF2012]

Published on: 04/10/2012

Euro Firm ahead of ECB Meeting

Main focus today will be on ECB meeting. The ECB would very likely leave its policy rate unchanged at the October meeting. In fact, after the announcement of the OMT in September and release of the meeting statement, we expect policymakers would leave interest rates unchanged for the rest of the year unless economic data suggests that more downside risks would be seen on economic growth and inflation.
BoE will also announce monetary policy decision today. Interest rates will remain at 0.5%, and the asset purchase program at GBP 375b. The quantitative easing program is expected to be expanded once again after the latest GBP 50b program completes in November.
FOMC minutes would also be featured today. This minutes is particularly important as Fed announced the effectively unlimited QE3 program during the meeting. Markets perceived that as an important move towards adopting an explicit target for unemployment rate.

[TF2012]

Published on: 05/10/2012

The Bank of Japan held off from more easing after adding to stimulus last month, preserving its policy firepower despite increased political pressure and signs of an economic contraction. The BOJ kept its asset-purchase fund, the main policy tool amid near-zero rates, at 55 trillion yen ($700 billion), the bank said in a statement in Tokyo today. Attention now turns to the next meeting on October 30 as Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse AG forecast two straight quarters of economic contraction through year-end. Economy Minister Seiji Maehara attended today’s central bank meeting, the first minister to do so for over nine years, adding to pressure on BOJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa. Japan’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rate between zero and 0.1 percent and monthly bond purchases at 1.8 trillion yen.

[TF2012]

Published on : 08/10/2012

The dollar rose against most major currencies on early Monday after investors spent the weekend digesting a stronger-than-expected U.S. September jobs report, concluding the numbers did not indicate significant recovery was taking shape in the U.S. economy.

The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 7.8% percent in September from 8.1% in August, the Bureau of Labour Statistics reported Friday.

Employers added a net 114,000 jobs in September, while households reported that total employment rose by 873,000 in September following three months of little change.

Meanwhile, the creation of just 114,000 new nonfarm payrolls reflected no major improvement from previous monthly jobs reports, investors concluded, which prompted many to take up long dollar positions early in Asian trading.

Elsewhere, demand for safe-haven currencies like the dollar rose ahead of the release of output data out of Germany, Europe's largest economy.

Germany will release month-on-month industrial output figures later in the day and until the numbers hit the wire, investors opted for safe-haven currencies such as the yen and the dollar.

A group of eurozone finance ministers are due to meet on Monday in Brussels, and investors sold the euro to await any policy announcements that may come from the talks.

[TF2012]

Published : 09/10/2012

The dollar fell against most major currencies on early Tuesday after investors sold the unit for profits. The greenback rose earlier amid a risk-off session sparked by World Bank and International Monetary Fund cuts to growth forecasts, though profit-taking sent the currency softening somewhat.
The World Bank earlier said it had cut its 2012 growth forecast for developing Asia-Pacific economies to 7.2% from a May forecast of 7.6%. The World Bank also said China's economy will growth 7.7% this year, down from a May forecast of 8.2%. The International Monetary Fund, meanwhile, cut its 2012 global growth forecast to 3.3% from a July estimate of 3.5%.
E.U. ministers are holding talks this week over how to firewall and extinguish the debt crisis, while German Chancellor Angela Merkel is making her first trip to Greece since 2007.

Merkel's visit takes place as representatives from Greece's Troika of international creditors — the ECB, the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund — mull whether the country is meeting terms required to receive its next shot of financial aid.
Later Tuesday, eurozone finance ministers will hold talks to discuss ways to firewall and extinguish the debt crisis.

[TF2012]

Published on: 10/10/2012

The dollar rose against most major currencies on early Wednesday as fears grew the global economy continues to cool after the International Monetary Fund trimmed growth forecasts for the world economy.
The euro and other higher-yielding currencies fell after investors sold and jumped to the side-lines ahead of the release of French and Italian industrial production data.

Uncertainty elsewhere in Europe also kept investors in the safety of the greenback.
Protestors clashed with police in Athens to mark German Chancellor Angela Merkel's visit to Greece, as the German leader urged Greeks to stick with austerity measures, adding the country will be better off in the long run.
Uncertainty over whether Spain will seek a bailout made the liquid dollar an attractive safe haven even more.

The dollar also saw gains against the euro and elsewhere as investors sold stocks and braced for U.S. third-quarter earnings, which hit the wire beginning this week.
In the U.S. later Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is to publish its Beige Book, which outlines current economic conditions.

[TF2012]

GBP/USD hit 1.6034 during U.S. morning trade, the daily high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.6015, adding 0.07%.
Cable was likely to find support at 1.5960, the low of September 10 and resistance at 1.6083, the high of September 11.
EUR/USD hit 1.2913 during U.S. morning trade, the session high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.2897, inching up 0.09%.
The pair was likely to find near-term support at 1.2802, the low of October 1 and resistance at 1.2990, Tuesday’s high.
USD/CHF pulled back from 0.9431, the session high, to hit 0.9390 during European afternoon trade, slipping 0.13%.
The pair was likely to find support at 0.9321, Tuesday’s low and resistance at 0.9431, the session high and a seven-day high.

[TF2012]

EUR/USD was trading at 1.2957, up 0.03% at time of writing.
The pair was likely to find support at 1.2824, Thursday’s low, and resistance at 1.3015, Monday’s high.

GBP/USD hit 1.6020 on Tuesday, the pair’s lowest since September 11; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.6064 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.41% on the week.

AUD/USD hit 1.0292 on Thursday, the pair’s highest since October 2; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.0230 by close of trade on Friday, still up 0.74% for the week.

[TF2012]

GBP/USDhit 1.6022 during U.S. morning trade, the daily low, the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.6053, edging down 0.14%.
Cable was likely to find support at 1.5983, Thursday’s low and resistance at 1.6141, the high of October 8.

EUR/USD pulled back from 1.2979, the session high, to hit 1.2938 during U.S. morning trade, slipping 0.11%.
The pair was likely to find support at 1.2824, Thursday’s low and resistance at 1.2990, Friday’s high.

USD/CHF hit 0.9372 during European late morning trade, the daily high; the pair subsequently consolidated at 0.9333, easing up 0.01%.
The pair was likely to find support at 0.9307, the low of October 12 and resistance at 0.9384, the high of October 4.

[tranhtheu1989]

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[phamvanluongksxd]

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[TF2012]

Market Outlook
EUR/USD was trading down 0.02% at 1.3020, up from a session low of 1.3016, and off from a high of 1.3029.
The pair is likely to find support at 1.2952, the low of October 16 and resistance at 1.3077, Friday’s high.

USD/JPY was trading at 79.24, down 0.11% at time of writing.
The pair was likely to find support at 78.62, Wednesday’s low, and resistance at 79.45, Thursday’s high.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar was up against the Euro and the British Pound, with EUR/USDshedding 0.03% to hit 1.3019 and GBP/USD falling 0.06% to hit 1.5996.

GBP/USDhit 1.6177 on Wednesday, the pair’s highest since October 5; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.6001 by close of trade on Friday, down 0.41% for the week.
Cable is likely to find near-term support at 1.5975, the low of October 10 and resistance at 1.6065, Friday’s high.

[TF2012]

EUR/USD was trading up 0.11% at 1.3073, up from a session low of 1.3020, and off from a high of 1.3083.
The pair is likely to find support at 1.3016, Monday's low, and resistance at 1.3129, Thursday’s high.

USD/JPY was trading at 79.88, down 0.08%, up from a session low of 79.84 and off a high of 79.99.
The pair was likely to find support at 79.22, Monday's low, and resistance at 80.01, Monday's high.

GBP/USDpulled away from 1.6051, the session high, to hit 1.6027 during U.S. morning trade, still up 0.16% for the day.
Cable was likely to find support at 1.5989, the session low and a seven-day low and near-term resistance at 1.6065, Friday’s high.

[TF2012]

Market outlook 10/25/2012
Currencies
EUR/USD The dollar gained 0.1 percent to $1.2974 per euro at 5 p.m. New York time and touched $1.2921, the strongest level since Oct. 15. It was little changed at 79.81 yen. Europe s shared currency fell 0.1 percent to 103.54 yen.

USD/JPY Japan ’s currency fell 0.2 percent to 79.98 per dollar as of 1:44 p.m. in Tokyo from the close in New York, nearing the three-month low of 80.01 reached on Oct. 23. It dropped 0.3 percent to 103.81 per euro. The 17-nation euro fetched $1.2980 from $1.2974 yesterday, when it reached $1.2921, the weakest level since Oct. 15.

GBP/USD Pound Sterling gained 0.7 percent to 80.89 pence per euro at 4:23 p.m. London time, posting the steepest intraday advance since July 5, after reaching 81.65 pence on Oct. 22, the weakest since June 11. Sterling rose 0.4 percent to $1.6023.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 10/29/2012
Currencies
USD/JPY The yen fetched 79.68 per U.S. dollar as of 3:04 p.m. in Tokyo after rising 0.8 percent to 79.65 on Oct. 26, the largest gain since Aug. 22. It was at 102.99 per euro following a 0.2 percent advance last week to 103.05. Europe’s shared currency lost 0.1 percent to $1.2926.
AUD/USD The Australian dollar dropped 0.2 percent to $1.0354 as of 4:19 p.m. in Sydney from the close on Oct. 26. It bought 82.46 yen from 82.62. The New Zealand dollar, nicknamed the kiwi, slid 0.2 percent to 82.09 U.S. cents. The currency weakened 0.2 percent to 65.40 yen.
Commodities
Gold for immediate delivery climbed as much as 0.3 percent to $1,716.05 an ounce and was at $1,715.26 at 1:54 p.m. in Singapore. Bullion for December delivery rose as much as 0.3 percent to $1,716.70 an ounce on the Comex, and was at $1,715.90. The U.S. securities industry canceled all stock trading as Hurricane Sandy headed toward New York City.
Crude oil for December delivery gained 23 cents, or 0.3 percent, to settle at $86.28 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices fell 4.8 percent this week and are down 13 percent this year.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 10/30/2012
Currencies
USD/JPY The Japanese currency reached 79.28 per dollar, the strongest since Oct. 22, before trading at 79.43 as of 6:13 a.m. in London, 0.5 percent higher than yesterday’s close.
AUD/USD Australia’s dollar traded at $1.0334 at 2:53 p.m. in Sydney from $1.0332 yesterday, when it fell 0.4 percent. It was little changed at 82.49 yen . Australian bonds gained for a third day, pushing the yield on 10-year debt down by seven basis points, or 0.07 percentage point, to 3.12 percent.
USD/CAD The loonie, as the currency is known for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, weakened 0.4 percent to C$1.0010 per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto. It hasn’t lost for five consecutive days since May. The Canadian dollar last closed weaker than parity on Aug. 6. One Canadian dollar buys $0.9990.
Commodities
Brent oil for December settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange dropped as much as 69 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $108.75 a barrel. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $23.75 to the WTI contract. The spread increased for a sixth day yesterday to $23.90, near the widest in more than a year.
GOLD The rise in gold prices in recent years added to the metal’s popularity. Spot gold, which traded at $1,711.38 an ounce on Oct. 29, has climbed 9 percent this year, heading for a 12th consecutive annual gain, as investors bought bullion to protect against inflation.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 10/31/2012
Currencies USD/JPY The dollar bought 79.62 yen as of 1:53 p.m. in Tokyo after falling 0.2 percent yesterday. It fetched $1.2957 per euro following a 0.4 percent decline in New York, the biggest drop since Oct. 17. Europe’s shared currency was little changed at 103.17 yen after rising 0.2 percent yesterday. The dollar has strengthened 2.1 percent against its Japanese counterpart this month. It has declined 0.8 percent versus the euro since Sept. 30.
USD/CAD The loonie, as the currency is nicknamed for the waterfowl on the C$1 coin, rose 0.2 percent to 99.92 per U.S. dollar cents at 5 p.m. in Toronto. It closed weaker than that level yesterday for the first time since Aug. 6. The currency is down 1.6 percent this month. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0008. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index (SXXP)advanced 0.9 percent while crude oil, Canada’s largest export, rose 0.2 percent to $85.69 per barrel in New York.
GBP/USD The pound gained 0.3 percent to $1.6081 at 4:19 p.m. London time after falling to $1.5914 on Oct. 23, the lowest level since Sept. 6. Sterling weakened 0.2 percent to 80.66 pence per euro.

Commodities Crude Oil for December delivery rose as much as 34 cents to $86.02 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 2:22 p.m. Singapore time. Prices gained 14 cents yesterday to $85.68, the highest close since Oct. 26. Futures are down 6.7 percent in October and 13 percent this year.
Brent oil for December settlement rose 7 cents to $109.15 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude’s premium to the West Texas Intermediate contract was at $23.18, down from $23.40 yesterday.
Gold for immediate delivery rose as much as 0.2 percent to $1,712.80 an ounce and was at $1,711.52 at 1:24 p.m. in Singapore. Prices are down 3.4 percent this month after climbing 4.7 percent in September as central banks from Europe to China to the U.S. pledged to do more to stimulate their economies.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 11/01/2012
Currencies USD/CAD Canada’s currency little changed at 99.94 cents per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto after reaching C$1.0014 earlier. It touched C$1.0019 yesterday, the weakest since Aug. 6. One Canadian dollar purchases $1.0006.

GBP/USD The pound rose 0.3 percent to $1.6113 at 4:22 p.m. London time after appreciating 0.3 percent yesterday, gaining 0.2 percent to 80.45 pence after dropping 0.5 percent over the previous three days. Barclays predicts that sterling will strengthen to $1.65 by year-end

USD/JPY The Japanese currency slid 0.3 percent to 80 per dollar. The 17- nation euro was little changed at $1.2964. The BOJ increased its asset-purchase program on Oct. 30 by 11 trillion yen ($137 billion) to 66 trillion yen to bolster growth through lower borrowing costs.

Commodities Crude for December delivery was at $86.41 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 17 cents, at 2:46 p.m. Singapore time. Prices gained 56 cents yesterday to $86.24, the highest close since Oct. 26. Futures are down 13 percent this year.

Brent oil for December settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange was at $108.72 a barrel, up 2 cents. The contract earlier dropped as much as 0.5 percent and has fallen the past three days. The European benchmark crude was at a $22.31 premium to WTI, from $22.46 yesterday

Metal for delivery in three months gained as much as 0.3 percent to $7,785 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange and was at $7,783 at 11:41 a.m. in Tokyo. The contract fell 5.4 percent last month, the most since May. December futures rose 0.3 percent to $3.529 a pound on the Comex in New York. February futures retreated 0.2 percent to 56,750 yuan ($8,998) a ton on the Shanghai Futures Exchange.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 14 NOV 2012
Currencies EUR/JPY The yen fell 0.4 percent to 101.23 per euro as of 6:12 a.m. in London. The euro rose 0.1 percent to $1.2718, after yesterday touching $1.2662, the weakest level since Sept. 7. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.2 percent, poised for its first advance in a week.

EUR/GBP The pound was little changed at 80.05 pence per euro at 4:58 p.m. London time after appreciating as much as 0.4 percent to 79.70 pence. The U.K. currency reached 79.61 pence on Nov. 8, the strongest level since Oct. 1. The pound has gained 1.2 percent this year . The euro weakened 3.3 percent and the dollar dropped 1.2 percent.

AUD/NZD Australia’s dollar touched NZ$1.2799, the highest level since Sept. 10, before trading at NZ$1.2788 as of 4:48 p.m. in Sydney, unchanged from yesterday. It rose to $1.0455, the strongest since Nov. 7, before trading at $1.0448, 0.1 percent higher. The Aussie advanced 0.3 percent to 83.08 yen. New Zealand’s currency added 0.1 percent to 81.70 U.S. cents and climbed 0.3 percent to 64.97 yen.

EUR/USD The euro was little changed at $1.2704 at 5 p.m. New York time after touching $1.2662 earlier, the weakest level since Sept. 7. Its 100-day moving average is $1.2644, and the 200-day average is $1.2815.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 16 NOV 2012
GBP/EUR The pound depreciated 0.2 percent to 80.59 pence per euro at 4:41 p.m. London time after sliding to 80.65, the weakest since Oct. 31. The U.K. currency rose 0.2 percent to $1.5864. It earlier declined to $1.5829, the lowest since Sept. 5.
AUD/USD Australia’s dollar was unchanged at $1.0332 as of 3:54 p.m. in Sydney from yesterday, when it touched $1.0307, the lowest since Oct. 26. The currency was set for a 0.6 percent decline against the greenback this week, the biggest since the five days ended Oct. 5. The Aussie bought 83.76 yen after gaining 0.7 percent to 83.86 yesterday.
USD/JPY The index’s break below 81.01 is a sign the gauge will fall and a trading-day close below 80.63 confirms the trend, according to the unit of Bank of America Corp. The Dollar Index has longer-term support at about 78.41 to 78.09.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 19 NOV 2012
Currencies AUD/USD Australia’s dollar climbed 0.3 percent to $1.0369 as of 5:35 p.m. in Sydney. It rose 0.3 percent to 84.31 yen after earlier touching 84.51, a level unseen since April 27. The New Zealand dollar traded at 81.34 U.S. cents after gaining 0.4 percent to 81.27 on Nov. 16. It fetched 66.13 yen from 66.08.
JPY/USD The yen depreciated 2.3 percent to 81.32 per dollar in New York this week, its biggest drop since February. The Japanese currency decreased 2.5 percent to 103.60 per euro, its most pronounced fall since September. The euro added 0.2 percent to $1.2743.
GBP/EUR The pound declined 0.3 percent this week to 80.15 per euro at 5 p.m. in London yesterday, after strengthening 1.7 percent during the previous three weeks. The U.K. currency fell 0.2 percent this week to $1.5866. It fell to $1.5829 on Nov. 15, the weakest level since Sept. 5.
Commodities GOLD Spot gold advanced as much as 0.6 percent to $1,723.70 an ounce and traded at $1,722.30 at 12:15 p.m. in Singapore. The metal slumped 1 percent last week as the dollar strengthened for a fourth week against a six-currency basket in the best run since June. Holdings in ETPs backed by bullion rose to 2,603.692 metric tons on Nov.
Crude OIL for January delivery rose as much as 76 cents to $87.68 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $87.57 at 12:18 p.m. Singapore time. The contract increased $1.05 to $86.92 on Nov. 16 to cap a second weekly gain. Front-month prices are down 11 percent this year.
Brent OIL for January settlement gained 66 cents, or 0.6 percent, to $109.61 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark contract was at a premium of $22.05 to West Texas Intermediate.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 21 NOV 2012
Currencies EUR/USD The euro dropped 0.4 percent to $1.2762 as of 6:35 a.m. in London from yesterday. It slipped 0.2 percent to 104.50 yen. The Japanese currency touched 81.97 per dollar, the weakest since April 6, before trading at 81.89, 0.3 percent lower than yesterday’s close.

USD/JPY The dollar rose 0.4 percent to 81.72 yen at 12:21 p.m. in New York. The dollar has strengthened 3 percent against the yen in the past week while remaining within a range of 75.35 yen per dollar to 85.53 yen since the March 17, 2011, earthquake and tsunami that rocked Japan. The nation’s currency has fallen at least 1 percent versus all of its 16 most-traded peers since Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda on March 15 called for elections that polls show favor the opposition party, which supports further monetary stimulus.

CAD/USD The Canadian dollar dropped less than 0.1 percent to 99.68 cents per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto. It touched 99.55 yesterday, the strongest since Nov. 8, as it gained as much as 0.6 percent, the most since Oct. 17. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0032.

Commodities OIL Crude for January delivery was at $86.79 a barrel, up 4 cents, in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 1:14 p.m. Singapore time. The contract lost $2.53 yesterday to $86.75, the biggest drop since Nov. 7. Prices are down 12 percent this year.

Brent oil for January settlement was at $109.94 a barrel, up 11 cents, on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The European benchmark crude was at a $23.15 premium to New York-traded West Texas Intermediate grade. The spread was $23.08 yesterday, the widest in three days.

Gold futures for December delivery fell 0.6 percent to settle at $1,723.60 an ounce at 1:39 p.m. on the Comex in New York, after reaching $1,736, the highest since Nov. 12. The price has gained 10 percent this year.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 22 NOV 2012
Currencies EUR/USD The euro added 0.1 percent to $1.2845 as of 2:40 p.m. in Tokyo after earlier touching $1.2868, the highest since Nov. 7. It fetched 105.88 yen from 105.86 yesterday. Japan’s currency touched 82.59 per dollar, the weakest since April 4, before trading little changed at 82.43. The Japanese currency was poised for a 1.4 percent decline against the greenback this week and 2.2 percent drop versus the euro.

GBP/EUR The pound gained 0.1 percent to 80.42 pence per euro at 4:38 p.m. London time after appreciating to 80.06 pence, the strongest since Nov. 14. The U.K. currency rose 0.1 percent to $1.5940 after reaching $1.5949, the highest level since Nov. 9.

AUD/USD The Aussie rose 0.2 percent to $1.0387 as of 5:14 p.m. in Sydney after falling 0.4 percent over the previous two days. The New Zealand dollar, nicknamed the kiwi, added 0.1 percent to 81.55 U.S. cents following a two-day, 0.7 percent slide.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 28 NOV 2012
Currencies GBP/USD The pound appreciated 0.2 percent to 80.75 pence per euro at 4:40 p.m. London time after strengthening through its 200-day moving average for the first time since Nov. 22. It earlier depreciated to 81.14 pence, the weakest since Oct. 24.

EUR/USD The dollar rose 0.2 percent to $1.2943 per euro at 5 p.m. New York time after dropping to $1.3009, the weakest since Oct. 31. The euro declined 0.1 percent to 106.34 yen after rising as much as 0.5 percent. The Japanese currency was 0.1 percent weaker at 82.15 yen per dollar.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar bought $1.0447 as of 4:46 p.m. in Sydney after falling 0.2 percent yesterday to $1.0446. It dropped 0.4 percent to 85.50 yen. New Zealand’s currency fetched 82.10 U.S. cents from 82.03 and was at 67.19 yen, 0.3 percent below yesterday’s close.

USD/JPY The Japanese currency touched 81.79 per dollar, the strongest since Nov. 21, before trading at 81.83 as of 2:54 p.m. in Tokyo, 0.4 percent stronger than yesterday’s close. The 17- nation euro dropped 0.6 percent to 105.76 yen, and has lost 1.1 percent this week. The dollar bought $1.2925 per euro, up 0.1 percent from yesterday when it gained 0.2 percent to $1.2943.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 4 DEC 2012
Currencies The euro fetched $1.3056 as of 8:26 a.m. in Tokyo from $1.3054 yesterday, when it touched $1.3076, the most since Oct. 23. The shared currency was little changed at 107.30 yen from yesterday, having risen 1 percent in the past three sessions. The U.S. currency slid 0.1 percent to 82.19 yen. The so-called Aussie traded at $1.0425 from $1.0421, after having fallen 0.5 percent in the past three days.
The Australian dollar rose 0.3 percent to $1.0449 as of 2:57 p.m. in Sydney after losing 0.5 percent over the previous three sessions. New Zealand’s currency added 0.3 percent to 82.31 U.S. cents.The nation’s bonds fell, with the benchmark 10-year yield gaining five basis points to 3.19 percent.
Commodities Spot gold slid as much as 0.2 percent to $1,712.35 an ounce, and traded at $1,712.88 at 12:37 p.m. in Singapore. Bullion for February delivery declined 0.4 percent to $1,714.70 an ounce on the Comex in New York, while oil and copper retreated. Holdings in ETPs, up 11 percent this year, expanded to 2,623.446 metric tons yesterday,

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 10 DEC 2012
Currencies AUD/USD Australia’s dollar fell from near the highest level in more than two months after Chinese exports and imports trailed economists’ forecasts, damping the South Pacific nation’s trade prospects.The Australian dollar slid to $1.0476 as of 5:02 p.m. in Sydney, down 0.1 percent from Dec. 7 when it capped a 0.6 percent weekly gain. On Dec. 6, it touched $1.0516, the highest since Sept. 21.
EUR/USD The euro fell against the dollar and yen for the first time in four weeks after the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast for the region and policy makers discussed trimming benchmark interest rates.The shared currency fell 0.5 percent to $1.2927 in New York for the first weekly loss since Nov. 9. It touched $1.2877 on Dec. 7, the weakest since Nov. 23.
CAD/USD The Canadian dollar rose to the highest level in a month versus its U.S. counterpart as employers added almost six times as many jobs as forecast in November, countering recent signs of an economic slowdown. The loonie, as the currency is nicknamed for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, appreciated 0.6 percent to 98.84 cents per U.S. dollar this week in Toronto. It touched 98.77 cents yesterday, strongest since Nov. 7. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0117.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 11 DEC 2012
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar fell 0.1 percent to $1.2957 per euro at 6:23 a.m. in London, following yesterday’s 0.1 percent drop. It fetched 82.33 yen after sliding 0.2 percent yesterday to 82.36. The euro bought 106.68 yen from 106.58 yesterday when it touched 105.98, the weakest level since Nov. 28.The dollar remained lower against the yen and euro amid speculation the Federal Reserve will expand monetary stimulus at a two-day meeting starting today.

CAD/USD The Canadian dollar, called the loonie for the image of the aquatic bird on the C$1 coin, rose 0.2 percent to 98.63 Canadian cents per U.S. dollar at 5 p.m. in Toronto, after earlier touching 98.62 cents, strongest since Oct. 19. One Canadian dollar buys $1.0139.The Canadian dollar reached a seven- week high versus its U.S. peer as the government approved Cnooc Ltd. (883)’s $15.1 billion takeover bid for Nexen Inc. (NXY)

GBP/EUR The pound gained 0.2 percent to 80.44 pence per euro at 4:18 p.m. London time after appreciating to 80.33 pence, the strongest level since Nov. 21. The pound strengthened for a fourth day against the euro after Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti said he intends to resign, boosting demand for the relative safety of British assets.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 12 DEC 2012
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar remained lower versus the euro after a two-day decline, with the Federal Reserve expected to announce today an expansion of asset purchases that tend to weaken the U.S. currency.The dollar was little changed at $1.3006 per euro as of 6:55 a.m. in London after falling 0.6 percent over the previous two days.
USD/JPY It gained as much as 0.3 percent to 82.74 yen before trading at 82.73 from 82.52 in New York. Europe’s shared currency added 0.3 percent to 107.60 yen after rising 0.7 percent yesterday, the biggest one-day gain since Nov. 21.

AUD/USD Australia’s dollar rose to a more than two-month high on prospects that further monetary easing by the U.S. central bank will debase the greenback.Australia’s dollar touched $1.0541, the highest since Sept. 17, before trading at $1.0524 as of 2:56 p.m. in Sydney, little changed from yesterday’s close. The Aussie rose 0.2 percent to 87 yen after reaching 87.04, the strongest since March 28.

NZD/USD New Zealand’s dollar, known as the kiwi, was little changed at 83.90 U.S. cents. It touched 83.98 U.S. cents, matching yesterday’s high, the strongest since March 2. New Zealand’s currency added 0.1 percent to 69.36 yen, after reaching 69.38, the strongest since October 2009.

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[TF2012]

Market Outlook 13 DEC 2012
Currencies USD/JPY The yen touched 83.67 per dollar, the weakest since March 21, before trading 0.4 percent lower at 83.59 as of 6:51 a.m. in London.The yen fell to the weakest level in almost nine months against the dollar before the Bank of Japan (8301)’s Tankan survey tomorrow, which economists say will show big manufacturers in the nation grew more pessimistic.
EUR/USD The shared currency closed above $1.3002 yesterday, signaling an upward trend that may see it test $1.3150, the 38 percent Fibonacci retracement level of a broad bearish move in the euro from May 2011 to July, Richard Adcock, head of fixed- income technical strategy at UBS AG in London, wrote today in a note to clients. The euro could rise to $1.3490, its highest level since Dec. 2, 2011, if it closes the week above $1.30
AUD/USD Australia’s currency appreciated 0.3 percent to $1.0555 yesterday in New York, after rising to $1.0586, its highest level since Sept. 14.The Australian dollars rose against their U.S. peer after the Federal Reserve added to its monetary-stimulus program, renewing concern the measures will debase the U.S. currency.
NZD/USD New Zealand’s dollar has strengthened 6.3 percent this year, the biggest increase among the 10 developed-nation currencies monitored by the Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes. The Aussie has gained 0.7 percent, and the U.S. dollar has fallen 2.9 percent.

[TF2012]

Market Outlook 28 Dec
CURRENCIES EUR/USD The euro has been on the rise while the dollar has been dropping against it, as the efforts to avert the fiscal cliff continue. The dollar fell to its lowest in 8 months trading at 1.3236 per euro at 5:05 pm New York time, and it has weakened as much as 0.5 percent. The euro’s 14-index of relative strength reached 70.6 to the dollar.

USD/JPY The yen has been on a fall, reaching its lowest in 28 months against the dollar. The yen dropped 0.6 percent touching 86.10 per dollar, its weakest since August 16, 2010.As of 2:17pm Tokyo time, the yen traded at 86.64 per dollar, after trading at 86.45 which is 0.4 percent lower than yesterday. The yen has lost 2.6 percent against the dollar since December 21 of this year, and its 14-day relative strength index has dropped to 17 against the dollar.

EUR/JPY According to Bloomberg’s correlation-weighted indexes the euro has gained 3 percent in the past three months, making it the second highest of the 10 development market currencies.The yen however has dropped 0.7 percent to 113.99 per euro, and its 14 day relative strength index dropped to 19.8 against the euro.The constant fall of the currency has spurred speculations that the central bank of the country will need to try and set up a cash infusion to control the situation.The Japanese currency has lost 0.4 percent to 114.49 per euro, and dropped to its lowest level since July 11 2011, while the euro has gained 0.1 percent and is now at 1.3242 dollars.

AUD/JPY The Australian currency has been gaining strength and has reached its highest against the yen since April of 2011, and has touched 89.83 yen. The decline in Japan’s consumer prices which has added to the monetary problems of the country, has helped the Australian dollar trade at 89.67 as of 4:01 pm Sydney time, which is 0.4 percent higher than yesterday. The yearly increase of the currency is predicted to be 14 percent against the Japanese currency.

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[TF2012]

Market Outlook 31 Dec 2012

EUR/USD The dollar rose 0.1 percent to 1.3201 dollars against the euro. The euro has risen 1.8 percent versus the dollar, a rise for the first time in two years, after the European Central Bank presented a program in September to aid the currency’s fall.

USD/JPY The yen declined 0.2 percent to 86.13 per dollar as of 1:32 p.m Singapore time, the continuous decline has brought heat on the country from other nations , Finance Minister Taro Aso responded that no one has the right to lecture the country, and added that the US should have a stronger dollar. Since 2011 the currency has dropped more than 10 percent against the dollar.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar climbed higher than most of the other currencies, and that was due to the manufacturing growth in China, which is its biggest trading partner. It gained 0.1 percent to 1.0381 dollars and is expected to have an overall 1.7 increase this year.

GBP/USD After a couple of changes throughout the past week, where the British pound rose against the dollar, after the pair hit 1.6065 on Thursday which was its lowest since December 10, the pair has climbed today and added 38 pips at 1.6138.

[TF2012]

Currencies USD/JPY The Yen has dropped even further against the dollar, and has gone down to 87.33 per dollar, its lowest since July 29, 2010. As of 6:38 am London time it traded at 87.27. These changes took place after the legislation to avert the fiscal cliff was passed. Currency strategist in Sydney Australia& New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. Andrew Salter stated that the Yen will probably remain weak for the time being, adding “if you look out a month or two, it really depends upon what the government is able to achieve as far as the central bank is concerned”

EUR/USD The dollar lost 0.5 percent and fell to 1.3272 dollars against the euro. Its weakening has taken affect as the legislation for averting the fiscal cliff was passed by the U.S. today.

AUD/USD The U.S. dollar slightly gains while the Aussie loses, dropping 0.7 percent from its lowest level in over four weeks. As of 11:08 am Sydney time it traded at 1.0399 dollars. It is predicted that the Australian dollar will rise to 1.07 dollars throughout the next six months, and to 1.01 by the

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[TF2012]

Market outlook 2 January 2013
Currencies EUR/USD After a high ride of 1.33 a dollar, the euro fell 0.1 percent to 1.3186 dollars. The dollar has rose 0.3 percent reaching 1.3148 per euro. Over the past year, 2012, the euro has had an overall decline of 1.1 percent, while the dollar fell 3.3 percent.

USD/JPY Then yen continues to weaken, falling 0.7 percent to 87.34 per dollar, and has reached its lowest level since 29 July 2010 at 87.35. Today however the dollar has also weakened against other major currencies. The Yen’s 14 day relative strength index is at 17 versus the dollar.

AUD/USD After being one of the strongest currencies, since the passing of the legislation in the US to increase taxes and cut budgets on Wednesday the Australian dollar has suffered some losses and has fallen lower than the USD. The pair fell 0.18 percent to 1.0486 dollars.

GBP/USD The British pound has been gaining over the last month of last year, and has now risen to its highest level against the dollar in 16 months at 1.6381 dollars, before going down to 1.6252 dollars.

[TF2012]

Market News 4 Jan 2013
Currency EUR/USD For the second day the dollar stayed higher than the euro, with a 0.1 percent gain and traded at 1.3040 per euro at 5 pm New York time, making it its strongest level in three weeks. The dollar is expected to advance 1.19 dollars per euro by the end of the year.

USD/JPY The yen fell against most other major currencies including the U.S. dollar, and that marks its longest weekly loss since 24 whole years, with a 2.1 percent loss against the U.S. dollar. It fell to 87.83 per dollar, and at 7 am London time it fell further to 87.74 per dollar. The yen’s 14 day relative strength index fell to 16.6 against the dollar.

AUD/USD China’s decline has had a big impact on the Australian dollar as the country is Australia’s biggest trade partner. The Aussie fell to 1.0441 at 4:25 pm Sydney time, losing 0.2 percent from yesterday. Expectations are that the currency will not have a noticeable improvement until china starts to improve pulling it along.

[ehtesham_ali]

Such policy tools weaken the greenback, which dampened the dollar's gains on Wednesday. Later Wednesday, the U.S. will release industry data on non-farm employment change, followed by a report by the Institute for Supply Management on non-manufacturing activity, as well as government data on crude oil stockpiles.

[TF2012]

Market News 7 Jan 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar gained 0.3 percent and rose to 1.3035 dollars per euro on the 4th of January. The dollar gained a weekley 0.7 percent increase while the euro lost 0.7 percent.

USD/JPY At 6 am London time the Yen gained 0.5 percent and rose to 87.73 per dollar. The yen's relative strength index versus the dollar fell to 15.5 on the 4th of January, its lowest since December 2001. The yen's continued shrinking has lead the country to take drastic measures, and it is expected that the extra budget which will be used to boost the economy will take around 5-6 trillion yen out of the public's work spending money.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar has gained against most of its counterparts. The yield of Australia's benchmark three-year government note went to 2.87 percent, its highest since the 17th of August 2012, and was 2 points lower than the 4th of January at 2.83 percent. The Australian dollar is expected to fall below 1 dollar this year, and weaken to 99 US cents by the end of the year.

[TF2012]

Market News 8 Jan 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The euro stayed strong versus the dollar, increasing 0.5 percent over the two past days, and it traded at 1.3119 dollars, at 12:26 pm London time, however it then suffered 0.2 percent loss and fell to 1.3042 dollars.

USD/JPY The yen has made a turn, and gained 0.5 percent reaching 87.36 per dollar, at 6:30 am London time. This is its strongest two day gain since the 8th of November, a positive change since four days ago it had hit its weakest price since July 2010. The Yen’s 14 day relative strength index against the dollar was at 27 today. The dollar fell 0.3 percent versus the yen and reached 87.55 per yen at 1:35 pm Tokyo time, Still the dollar displays signs of strength and is expected to advance to 94 yen; its strongest price in over two years.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar has slid after a three day gain. It fell 0.2 percent reaching 1.0478 dollars at 4:46 pm Sydney time. Speculations expect a 60 percent chance of the Reserve Bank of Australia lowering the benchmark interest rate from 3 percent this quarter.

[TF2012]

Market News 9 Jan 2013
Currencies
EUR/USD The euro did not change much against the dollar. The dollar stayed higher than most major currencies gaining against the euro, which is not shocking when paired with the news that the European currency may not be improving any time soon. The pair hit 1.3093 rising 0.03 percent.
USD/JPY After rising 1.3 percent over the past two days, the yen once again fell against most of the major currencies, and lost against the dollar 0.5 percent to 87.49 per dollar at 6:49 am London time.
AUD/USD The Australian dollar has made a turn and for the last three days it has been gaining. The Aussie rose 0.4 percent over the past three days and it traded at 1.0503 dollars at 4:55 pm Sydney time. The pair hit 1.0523 which is a 0.06 percent increase.

[TF2012]

Market News 10 Jan 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The euro slid 0.1 percent to1.3056 dollars. The euro which is considered in crisis, awaits its fate when the European Central Bank will meet on Thursday. The pair hit 1.3037 in the morning which is its lowest since Monday.

USD/JPY The Japanese yen has fallen once more against most of its counterparts. The two day loss has the currency losing 0.3 percent and falling to 88.17 dollars at 6:39 London time. On the 4th of January the currency had reached its lowest level in over two years.

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar has gained its three week high against the dollar. As imports and exports in China improve, its major trading partner Australia, has been positively affected and the country’s currency has been improving. The Aussie touched its strongest price since the 18th of December with 1.0555 dollars, before falling to 1.0552 dollars at 4:31 pm Sydney time, which is a 0.3 percent increase.

GBP/USD The British currency has suffered a big loss and has fallen lower than most of its counterparts, occupying the second to last spot. It reached its lowest level since the 30th of November at 1.5993 dollars, it then rose to 1.6012 dollars at 4:38 pm London time.

[TF2012]

Market News 11 Jan 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The euro reached its highest gain in five months against the dollar, even though yesterday’s European Central Bank’s meeting decided against changing interest level rates. The US dollar also did well being higher than a lot of the other major currencies, despite its drop. The pair was up by 1.42 percent yesterday at 1.3252.

USD/JPY The yen continues to drop, reaching its lowest level since the 29th of June 2010, at 89.35 per dollar, it dropped 0.3 percent from yesterday trading at 89.08 at 2:58 pm Tokyo time. This marks the yen’s longest loss period in over 20 years.

AUD/USD Once again China’s economical status has affected the Australian dollar which has fallen against most of the other major currencies, leaving behind its highest level in four months. It traded at 1.0590 dollars at 10:31 am Sydney time yesterday. It has climbed 0.8 percent over the past 24 hours, and reached its highest level since the 14th of September at 1.0599 dollars.

GBP/USD The British currency fell 0.28 percent against the dollar at 1.6015 dollars. The pair fell 0.13 percent to 1.6148 after the central British bank decided against making any changes in their benchmark rate. This happened after the pair had showed signs of improvement over the past two days.


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[TF2012]

Market News 14 JAN 2013

Currencies EUR/USD The dollar has sunk to more than a 10 month low against the Euro, losing 0.3 percent and reaching its lowest since the 29th of February 2012 at 1.3404 dollars.

USD/JPY The yen reached its lowest level against the dollar since the 25th of June 2010 at 89.67 per dollar, the yen suffered a 5 percent fall from last week, and traded at 89.60 at 5:58 am London time.

AUD/USD The Australian dollar gained against most other currencies including the dollar, it reached 1.0557 dollars at 4:45 pm Sydney time a 0.2 percent increase.

GBP/USD The British pound fell against the US dollar, as it has struggled against most of its counterparts. The pair lost 0.06 percent and traded at 1.6122

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[TF2012]

Market News 16 JAN 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The euro has had an alarming 8.4 percent gain against the euro over the past 6 months. It traded at 1.3306 dollars at 5 pm New York time, a 0.6 percent decrease, that is after it touched its highest in almost a year on the 14th of January with 1.3404 dollars.
USD/JPY The yen has had a two day gain, and in fact its highest in eight months. After its 0.8 percent gain yesterday it gained an extra 0.7 percent today and reached 88.19 per dollar, at 6:55 am London time.
AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell against the U.S. dollar and traded at 83.93 U.S. cents, dropping from yesterday’s 83.97. Earlier this week the Australian dollar was boosted when Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said he expects the central bank to continue its bond buying program.

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[TF2012]

Market News 17 JAN 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar has gained against its counterparts since yesterday. The euro rose to 1.3297 dollars. The EUR/USD pair lost 0.09 percent and fell to 1.3293. The pair is expected to find support at 1.3037, and resistance at 1.3403.
USD/JPY The yen’s two day gain fell short when it lost 0.3 percent and dropped to 88.64 per dollar at 3:31 pm Tokyo time. The pair lost 0.08 percent in Asian trading and fell to 88.31. Expectations have the bank of Japan adjusting its inflation target to 2 percent, when the two day meeting occurs on January 21.
AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell against most other currencies, and that is mainly due to the high rates of unemployment that the country is suffering. The Aussie lost 0.6 percent and fell to 1.0513 dollars at 5:17 pm Sydney time. The AUD/USD pair also lost 0.63 percent, and fell to 1.0506.


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[TF2012]

Market News 28 JAN 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The U.S. dollar had traded well against most of its peers at the start of this week, and it has gained against Europe’s shared currency, after last week’s loss when the Euro reached its highest level against the dollar since almost a year. The pair gained 0.03 percent trading at 1.3458.
USD/JPY The U.S. dollar gained against most major currencies, and it reached its 2 and a half year high against the Japanese yen. Yesterday at 2:13 pm Tokyo time it traded at 91.03 a yen, adding 0.1 percent from last week. The pair traded at 91.08, gaining 0.18 percent.
AUD/USD The Australian dollar fell against its American peer in trades, although expectations for the Australian currency for this year are still positive. The pair traded at 1.0428 in Asian trading, and is expected to find support at 1.0402 and resistance at 1.0552.
GBP/USD Britain’s struggling currency was low against most of its peers including the U.S. dollar, the pair lost 0.16 percent and traded at 1.5772. It is expected to find support at 1.5747 and resistance at 1.5892.
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[TF2012]

Market News 30 JAN 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar reached its lowest level against the Euro in over a year; it fell against all but one of the major currencies. At 5 pm New York time it traded at 1.3492 dollars per euro, its weakest level in over a year. The pair traded at 1.3478 a 0.17 percent increase and it is expected to find support at 1.3265 and resistance at 1.3496.
USD/JPY The Japanese yen traded lower than most other currencies. It lost 0.2 percent against the euro and traded at 90.20 per dollar at 2:39 pm Tokyo time. It is expected for the yen to lose up to 4.6 percent against the dollar for the whole of January. The U.S. dollar traded at 90.73 yen.
GBP/USD After a streak of losses the British pound redeemed its five months low against the dollar. The pound gained 0.3 percent and at 4:30 pm London time it traded at 1.5741 dollars. So far this year the British pound is one of the two weakest currencies right above the Japanese yen. The pair traded at 1.5768 this morning, increasing 0.50 percent. It is expected to find support at 1.5673 and resistance at 1.5784.

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[TF2012]

Market News 31 JAN 2013
Currencies EUR/USD The dollar fell to its weakest level in over a year, against the euro. It lost 0.1 percent and traded at 1.3579 per euro at 6:10 am London time. During this month the euro has strengthened against the dollar by 2.8 percent, and it keeps doing so. It gained 0.5 percent since yesterday and at 9:45 am it traded at 1.3553 dollars per euro.
USD/JPY The dollar fell further against most major currencies, but it advanced against the Japanese yen by 0.4 percent trading at 91.98 yen, after reaching its strongest level since June 2010 at 91.41. The pair lost 0.20 percent and traded at 90.91. It is expected to find support at 88.29 and resistance at 91.35.
GBP/USD The British pound gained against the dollar, which has been falling. The British pound, U.S. dollar pair traded at 1.5796, a 0.21 percent increase, it is expected to find support at 1.5675 and resistance at 1.5892.

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